Issue #332
June 30, 2013
The Oasis

Newsletter


The newsletter with chart analysis for stocks and stock indexes

Stock Indexes Analysis/Evaluation


Has Seasonal Correction Ended?

DOW Friday closing price - 14909

The DOW generated a positive reversal this past week having made a new 8-week low and then closing in the green and in the upper half of the week's trading range. The reversal could be signaling that the seasonal correction may be over as the drop in the index from high to low has been 991 points (15542 to 14551) and the seasonal corrections in the past have generally been from 1000 to 1600 points, meaning that there is a decent possibility that the correction has been accomplished.

By the same token, the DOW was not able to break above the 50-week MA on Thursday and did generate a successful retest of that line with the red close on Friday, also suggesting that the traders have not ruled out the possibility of further downside of consequence this coming week if the important economic reports, or the evaluation of them, is negative. The time frame for the seasonal correction still offers one or two more weeks of down movement before the earnings report quarter starts to kick in.

On a weekly closing basis, there is minor resistance at 15248 and minor to perhaps decent resistance at 13354. On a daily closing basis, there is decent resistance between 14970 and 15030 (15000 demilitarized zone). Above that level, there is minor resistance at 15176, minor to decent at 15248/15254, and strong between 15383 and 15409. On a weekly closing basis, support is minor at 14799 and minor again at 14547. Below that level, there is minor to perhaps decent support at 14093 and again at 13981. On a daily closing basis, support is minor at 14700, minor to decent at 14659 and again at 14537. Below that level, there is minor support at 14421 and decent support at the 14000 demilitarized zone.

The DOW is awaiting further economic information this coming week with the ISM Index coming out on Monday and the Jobs Report on Friday. These are the 2 most important reports of the month and will likely help the traders made an assessment of where the economy is at this time. As far as the charts are concerned, the index is still in a short-term downtrend and the probabilities favor the downside.

This past week, the DOW traded between the 100-day MA, currently at 14690 and the 50-day MA, currently at 15030, which by the way are also "general" support/resistance levels in the index (300 points below the 15000 level and the psychological resistance at 15000). Having traded within that trading range this past week was not surprising as it shows that the traders have not yet made any strong decisions as to whether the seasonal correction will continue or whether it is over.

The DOW now shows definite daily close support/resistance levels that will stimulate further movement of consequence in whatever direction those levels are broken. To the downside, Monday's close at 14659 is considered support and if broken it is likely the index will continue on down to the 200-day MA, currently at 14000. To the upside, Thursday's close at 15024 is considered resistance and a break above that level will likely cause the index to test the all-time high at 15442.

The time frame for the seasonal correction to end is just 1-2 weeks away as the probabilities favor the bulls once the earnings quarter begins. By the same token, it is possible that within the same 1-2 weeks time frame that the bears could generate a 900 point move down in the DOW to 14000 which would not only fit in well with the seasonal correction but also as a re-test of the previous all-time high at 14093 (weekly close) that stood up for 6 years.

Nonetheless, this coming week is going to be difficult for the traders to analyze the data on a fundamental basis because recently bad is good and good is bad, meaning that they will have no definitive basis for decisions based on the information that comes out. In addition, with one report coming out on Monday and the other on Friday, it will give reasons to both sides (bulls and bears) to think the other report will help if the first one didn't, as such, the DOW may not do anything of consequence until after the Jobs report comes out on Friday.

The probabilities favor the DOW trading between 14700 and 15000 for the week unless something truly positive or negative occurs (unlikely). Such a trading range will be of more benefit to the bulls than the bears as the time frame for the seasonal correction to be fulfilled will be shortened even more. By the same token, the index is presently in a short-term downtrend/correction and no signal has yet been given that the downtrend is over, meaning that the bears still have a slight edge this coming week.

NASDAQ Friday closing price - 3403

The NASDAQ had a reversal week having made a new 8-week low and then closing in the green and near the highs of the week suggesting further upside will be seen this coming week. Nonetheless, on a daily closing basis, the index closed at the 3400 level which is an important resistance area inasmuch as there are 2 previous low daily closes at 3401 and 3400 as well as the 50-day MA, currently at 3404, meaning that where the index closes on Monday will likely be indicative.

The NASDAQ was the only index that generated a daily green close on Friday and it was mostly due to the strength seen in the tech sector with AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, and PCLN all having up days. Nonetheless, with the possible exception of AAPL, the other stocks did not accomplish anything of consequence on the charts, meaning further appreciation will likely depend on the economic reports and not on the charts.

On a weekly closing basis, there is minor resistance at 3469 and decent at 3498. On a daily closing basis, there is minor resistance at 3400, minor to decent at 3473, minor again at 3491 and decent at 3502. On a weekly closing basis, support is minor to decent at 3357, decent at 3202/3206, minor at 3183 and minor again at 3161. On a daily closing basis, support is minor to decent at 33.20, minor at 3300 and minor to decent at 3203. Strong support is found at 3166.

The most important thing this coming week in the NASDAQ is the gap area between Friday's high at 3422 and the June 19th low at 3444. The gap can be considered a breakaway gap and if not closed the selling will increase and the recent low at 3294 likely broken. Nonetheless, the probabilities are high that the gap will be closed at some point since no signal has yet been given that the long-term uptrend has been broken. By the same token, the index also left a gap to the upside between 3358 and 3365 that is likely to be closed, probably before the upside gap is closed and that means that more selling pressure is likely to be seen this coming week than buying pressure. The upside gap can be closed in the near future (1-2 weeks) when the earnings reports come out. The downside gap is not a valid gap and will likely be closed this week.

To the downside, the NASDAQ has support at 3378 and then nothing until the 100-day MA, currently at 3305, is reached. Further support is found at 3295 and then nothing until 3200. To the upside, the index shows no resistance (other than the gap) until 3473 is reached. The index did generate a positive reversal on Friday, having gone below Thursday's low and above Thursday's high and then closing in the green, so the first course of action for this coming week will likely be to the upside, above Friday's high at 3422.

Probabilities for this week are for the NASDAQ to trade up to the 200 60-minute MA, currently at 3437 and trade down to the 100-day MA, currently at 3315.

SPX Friday closing price - 1606

The SPX was able to generate a green weekly close on Friday, suggesting that the selling pressure has abated a bit. The index did close near the highs of the week, suggesting that further upside above the week's high at 1620 will be seen this coming week. Nonetheless, the index closed in the red on Friday and in the lower half of the day's trading range, suggesting the first course of action for the week will be to the downside.

On a daily closing basis, the SPX is still in a downtrend and having closed at 1613 on Thursday and then generating a red close on Friday, it can be said that the breakdown level between 1608 and 1612, as well as the 50-day MA, currently at 1622, have been tested successfully and that the recent short-term downtrend will resume.

On a weekly closing basis, resistance is minor at 1643 and minor to decent at 1667. On a daily closing basis, minor to perhaps decent resistance is found between 1608 and 1613, minor at 1643 and decent at 1651. Above that level, there is minor resistance at 1660 and strong at 1669. On a weekly closing basis, support is minor at 1592, minor do perhaps decent at 1558/1561, decent between 1553 and 1555, very minor at 1515, and minor to perhaps decent at 1500/1503. On a daily closing basis, support is minor to perhaps decent at 1573, minor between1545 and 1553 and decent at 1541.

The SPX has a rare gap between 1624 and 1628 that is likely to be filled, suggesting that at some point during the week the index will get up to that area. Resistance above the 50-day MA at 1622 is not found until 1648 is reached so closure of the gap will likely bring additional buying. By the same token, a rally up to that level would likely mean a break above the MA line and that would be considered a positive signal, as such it is possible that the index will head lower first before closure of the gap occurs.

Support in the SPX is found at the 100-day MA, currently at 1582, which also shows some very minor intra-week support from a low made on May 1st. A drop down to that level could also mean a retest of the recent low at 1560 and a possible end to the correction. Drops down to that level are likely to be seen this coming week. The support at 1560 must now be considered decent and indicative as a break of that level should push the index down to the 1536/1539 where multiple lows are found that if seen again should be broken and a drop down to the 200-day MA, currently at 1512, seen.

The trading range for the SPX is clearly defined with the 50 and 100 day MA's at 1622 and at 1580 respectively, as the bookends of the trading range. Moves outside of that trading range on a daily closing basis could be indicative.

Like with all indexes, much will be decided in the SPX based on how the economic reports come out and how the traders evaluate them.


The "good news is bad and bad news is good" scenario continued to be seen this past week when the GDP number came out worse than anticipated and the market rallied. The market continues to trade more on the Fed support, or lack thereof, than on the economy itself. This week that kind of thinking will be even more evident with the release of the 2 most important economic reports for the month in the ISM Index on Monday and the Jobs report on Friday.

Chart-wise, the indexes remain in a short-term downtrend and if no surprises are seen in the economic reports, the probabilities favor mostly downside this week. By the same token, with the third quarter earnings quarter starting the following week, the weakness seen this week could be limited to simply a retest of the lows to establish a support level the traders can use to purchase stocks going into the earnings quarter. Lots of questions abound right now that are not likely to be answered until after the economic reports have come out.

There is a good chance the seasonal correction is now over as the indexes did accomplish the minimum needed to establish it as the "sell in May and go away" adage resolution. Nonetheless, more downside is still possible, especially since the bulls did not do enough on the rally this past week to negate the short-term downtrend. By the same token, the bears must accomplish breaking last week's lows this coming week if they hope to see more of a correction. A break above last week's high, especially on a daily closing basis, would be a signal for higher prices to be seen.

Stock Analysis/Evaluation
CHART Outlooks

No mentions will be given this week due to the high uncertainty of the action to be seen after the economic reports come out. The probabilities still favor the economy being slow or even shrinking and that would normally suggest shorting the market, but that also likely means further Fed stimulus, which at this point would rally the market especially since the overbought condition has been negated. In addition, there are chart reasons to believe the seasonal correction has ended so short positions do not have a high probability rating at this time. On the other side of the coin, there are few reasons to be an aggressive buyer.

Mentions will be made on the message board throughout the week based on the trading action being seen. Mentions are likely to be day trades or even short-term trades but not likely to be position trades until the traders have made up their minds on what they are looking to do.

Updates
Monthly & Yearly Portfolio Results
Closed Trades, Open Positions and Stop Loss Changes

Status of account for 2007: Profit of $9,758 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2008: Profit of $14,704 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2009: Profit of $7,523 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2010: Profit of $24,045 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2011: Profit of $3,616 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2012: Profit of $3,399 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.

Status of account for 2013, as of 6/1

Profit of $3930 using 100 shares per mention (after commissions & losses)

Closed out profitable trades for June per 100 shares per mention (after commission)

ORCL (short) $387
AAPL (long) $320
AMZN (short) $478
AMZN (short) $998
AMZN (short) $214

Closed positions with increase in equity above last months close minus commissions.

DDM (short) $306
ORCL (short) $366
VHC (long) $224

Total Profit for June, per 100 shares and after commissions $3293

Closed out losing trades for June per 100 shares of each mention (including commission)

AMZN (short) $120
AAPL (short) $99
HUM (short) $145
VHC (long) $68
AMZN (short) $171

Closed positions with decrease in equity below last months close plus commissions.

GE (short) $114
JNJ (short) $6
MMM (short) $182

Total Loss for June, per 100 shares, including commissions $905

Open positions in profit per 100 shares per mention as of 6/30

HRB (short) $135
RIG (short) $177
HUM (short) $85
HYGS (long) $203
VHC (short) $108
AAPL (long) $820 (5 options)

Open positions with increase in equity above last months close.

XOM (short) $36
FCEL (long) $2
DD (short) $329
HRB (short) $128

Total $2023

Open positions in loss per 100 shares per mention as of 6/30

KGC (long) $24
JNJ (short) $194

Open positions with decrease in equity below last months close.

KGC (long) $131
DCTH (long) $30
SIRI (long) $27

Total $408

Status of trades for month of June per 100 shares on each mention after losses and commission subtractions.

Profit of $4003

Status of account/portfolio for 2013, as of 6/30

Profit of $7933 using 100 shares traded per mention.



Updates on Held Stocks

FCEL did not confirm the previous week's failure to follow through signal as the bulls were able to close the stock above the previous breakout level at 1.25. The stock did close near the highs of the week and further upside should be seen, likely bringing in renewed buying interest and a new retest of the important 5-year resistance level at the 200-week MA, currently at 1.62. If last week's high at 1.33 is broken, the 1.10 low seen this week will become a strong support level and the upside objective for the week would likely be 1.53. The volatility remains, which in turn continues to favor a trend change to the upside. The stock did close near the lows of the day on Friday, suggesting the first course of action will be to the downside with 1.21-1.24 as the downside objective. The 1.10 low needs to be retested on the daily chart this coming week and that means at least 1 move below a previous day's low. A intra-day drop as low as 1.15 could be seen but a close more than 5 points below 1.25 would be disappointing to the bulls. Probabilities favor a move down to 1.21 on Monday, followed by buying interest the rest of the week.

ELON closed on Friday at the same 14-year low weekly close seen in April at 2.11, suggesting that buying interest is not being seen. The stock closed on the lows of the week and further downside is likely to be seen. Intra-week support is found between 2.06 and 2.10 but the probabilities favor the support breaking (due to multiple lows in that area) and a drop down to the all-time low at 1.94 being seen. By the same token, the stock has been down to the 2.06-2.10 area 3 times in the last 9 months and has always found buying interest there, so the drop down to 1.94 is certainly not a high probability. A rally above 2.34 would relieve some of the selling pressure and a rally and close above 2.64 would be considered a decent positive.

SIRI negated the previous week's failure to follow through signal by closing on Friday above the previous high weekly close at 3.23, broken the previous week. The stock did close near the highs of the week and further upside is expected to be seen with 3.58 as the upside objective. By the same token, the stock did close near the lows of the day on Friday and the first course of action for the week is likely to be to the downside with 3.21 as the objective. Support is found at the week's low at 3.04 that if broken would bring back selling interest. A break above the week's high at 3.47 would be considered a decent to strong positive and would likely cause the uptrend to resume.

XOM generated a positive reversal signal having made a new 9-week low but then closing in the green and near the highs of the week, suggesting further upside with 91.80 as the objective. By the same token, the bulls failed to close a bearish gap between 91.00 and 90.75 on Friday that could push the stock down first to the 89.00 level where intra-week support is found. The bears have had their opportunity to establish the downside over the past 9 weeks but so far have failed. Resistance is found at 92.27 and support will be decent at 88.02 if the stock is able to go above last week's high at 90.75 this coming week. Probabilities are once again shifting back to the bulls and therefore the stop loss will now be lowered to 92.37. By the same token, consideration should be given to taking profits should the stock get down to the 89.00 level this coming week.

HRB had a negative week in spite of the strength seen in the indexes and did close at a double low weekly close support level at 27.75/27.82 which now should be broken as a multiple low area now exists on the weekly closing chart. The stock did close in the lower half of the week's trading range and further downside should be seen with 26.58 as the objective. Intra-week support on the daily chart is found at 27.24 that if broken would likely generate the drop down to 26.58. A break below 26.58 would likely cause the gap down at 25.59 to be closed and would strongly weaken the chart as the support at 25.00 is minor in nature. A drop down to the 200-day MA, currently at 23.15, would likely occur if the 26.58 level is broken. Resistance is now at 28.58 and again at 29.56 and if the latter is broken, the probabilities would increase of further upside. The multiple year high at 30.19 has now been tested successfully on 3 occasions, suggesting that the probabilities favor the downside at this time.

KGC generated an important reversal this past week having made a new 11-year intra-week low at 4.53, below the previous one seen in Jul05 at 4.61, but then generating a green close above last week's close at 5.03, strongly suggesting that the low for the move has been seen. The $5 level has been major support throughout the past 11 years and though the stock broke down intra-week, the weekly close shows the support at that level remains strong. The stock did spike up on Friday and closed on the highs of the day/week suggesting further upside is likely to be seen this coming week. Resistance is found at the runaway gap area between 5.27 and 5.50 but if the gap is closed, the breakaway gap between 6.11 and 6.15 will likely be targeted. Support should be found at 4.97 and at 4.86 which is where the 50 60-minute MA is currently located, as well as decent intra-day support at 4.80. Probabilities favor the upside but the stock could trade this coming week between 4.86 and 5.27 before further upside is seen.

VHC got down to the 200-week MA, currently at 18.80, with a drop down to 18.62 and a rally back up to close in the middle of the week's trading range. A rally this coming week above last week's high at 21.50 would mean a successful retest of the line, which in turn would likely bring in a new rash of buying, perhaps even aggressive buying. The stock did generate a mini reversal on Friday, having made a new 3-day high and then closing in the red but the reversal is likely to only generate a small move down to 19.62, which in turn could become a successful retest of the 18.62 low if the support holds and the stock rallies thereafter. Resistance is found at 21.48 and at 22.34, which does include the 50-day MA, currently at 22.00. Nonetheless, any rally this coming week above 21.50 would suggest the downside is over and that would mean daily chart resistance levels would likely only be minor obstacles to the stock getting up to the 200-day MA, currently at 27.80, which could be seen within a period of 3-6 weeks. Any break below 18.62 would now be considered a decent negative. It is evident this coming week will be important as the mid-term downtrend has met the long-term uptrend and something "has to give". The probabilities do favor the bulls as the long-term uptrend is usually the winner in situations like this. A break above 21.50 or a close below 18.62 will be the deciding factor.

DD made a new 10-week weekly closing low on Friday, suggesting further downside is still to come. The stock did test the 50-day MA successfully on Thursday, currently at 54.30, having generated a red close on Friday and below Thursday's low. Support is found at 52.16 and 52.02 but those are both intra-week lows and based on the action and the recent negative earnings report it is likely the stock will head down to the $50 level unless the indexes manage to rally strongly this coming week. The intra-week downside objective has to be the 200-day MA, currently at 49.00, likely to be reached within a week or two. Nonetheless, taking profits should be considered if the downside objective is reached as the probabilities of the stock trading "around the $50 level for a few weeks is high. Stop loss orders should be lowered to 54.40 as a break of the 54.30 high would be considered a short-term positive of some consequence.

HUM generated a negative reversal having made a new 14-month high but then closing in the red and near the lows of the week. The negative reversal is additionally exacerbated by the fact that the bulls failed to close the gap at 86.20 that was generated 14 months ago and that has been a major resistance ever since. The bulls were able to get the stock up to 85.90 on Monday but the additional 30 points to close the gap were not generated the rest of the week in spite of the fact the indexes rallied strongly on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. The inability of the bulls to close the gap does suggest that further upside will be totally dependent on outside factors and that the stock is now likely to make a bee-line to the support found around the $80 level. Minor but indicative support is found at 83.15. Below that level there is no support of consequence until the 50-day MA, currently at 79.40, is reached. Probabilities favor the downside.

RIG made a new 26-week intra-week and weekly closing low this past week suggesting further downside will be seen. By the same token, the stock was able to rally off of the lows to close in the upper half of the week's trading range, suggesting that last week's high at 48.47 could be broken this week. Resistance is minor to decent between 48.98 and 50.38 and it is unlikely that at this time those resistance levels will be broken. The stock did close on the lows of the day on Friday and further downside should be seen with 46.53 as the downside objective for the week. If that level holds up, taking profits can be considered with re-shorting of the stock considered again above 48.97. The stock continues to be in a long-term and short-term downtrend with 43.50 to 45.00 as the likely downside objective before stronger buying is seen. Nonetheless, based on the limited $45-$50 trading range, the stock should be traded in and out on rallies and dips.

JNJ did not follow through on the previous week's negative reversal and the bulls climbed aboard generating a $5 rally and in the process breaking and closing above the 50-day MA as well as above the most recent high at 86.50. Nonetheless, the stock generated a negative reversal on Thursday, having made a new 22-day high but then closing in the low. The reversal was confirmed on Friday with another red close as well as a close on the lows of the day suggesting the first course of action for the week will be to the downside. Intra-week support is found at 83.88, at 83.08, and at 82.65, but on a daily closing support is found at the 50-day MA, currently at 85.60. The rally this past week will be considered a successful retest of the all-time high weekly close at 88.09 if the stock closes in the red next Friday. The stock has been on a strong uptrend this year and a retest of the all-time high was needed if the stock is to correct any further. As such, the close next Friday is important. The chart suggests that there are 3 important daily close support levels at 84.23, at 83.68, and at 82.62 that will give important clues to the traders. A successful retest of the first support level would be considered bullish, a successful retest of the second support level would be supportive but suggesting a sideways phase and a successful retest of the third level would likely be considered slightly bearish for the mid-term. A close below 82.62 would be bearish, suggesting a drop down to the 200-day MA, currently at 76.40. A daily close above 86.99 would be short-term bullish and would suggest a rally up to the 88.09 all-time high daily close. Chart suggests the stock will trade between 83.50 and 87.00 this coming week.

AAPL tested the 200-week MA, currently at 387.00, with a drop down to 388.87 this past week. The stock bounced up from that low to close slightly below the mid-point of the trading range but $8 above the low, suggesting there is a decent possibility that the low for this move has been seen. If the stock goes above last week's high at 408.66 this coming week the retest of the MA line will be successful, as well as generating a successful retest of the 18-month low at 385.10. Such a successful retest would likely generate aggressive short-covering but also new buying. The stock did close in the upper half of the day's trading range on Friday, suggesting that further upside above Friday's high at 400.27 will be seen on Monday. Very minor intra-week resistance is found 407.79 but if broken the stock would find no intra-week resistance until the 50-day MA, currently at 433.00, is reached. On a daily closing basis though, minor resistance would be found at 420.05. Chart does suggest a decent to high probability that the stock has found its low and that the bulls may start having the edge. Nonetheless, the 408.66 level must be broken this week for all the positives to surface.

NFLX made a new 11-week weekly closing low breaking below a minor double weekly closing low at 213.45/213.99 that does suggest further downside will be seen this week with the $190 level as the objective. The red close on Friday, below last week's low, made last week's high at 235.88 into a needed successful retest of the all-time high at 248.85. The stock was downgraded this past week and given a $180 downside objective, also suggesting that further downside will be seen. Minor intra-week support is found at 204.02 and then nothing until 175.45 is reached. Psychological support is likely to be seen at the $200 level. Resistance is found at 218.45 that if broken would reduce the selling pressure.


1) ELON - Averaged long at 8.71 (2 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 2.11.

2) XOM - Averaged short at 90.126 (3 mentions). Stop loss at 92.37. Stock closed on Friday at 90.35.

3) FCEL - Averaged long at 1.34 (5 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 1.28.

4) HRB - Averaged short at 28.855 (2 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 27.75.

5) DCTH - Averaged long at 3.383 (3 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at .37.

6) ORCL - Covered shorts at 29.98. Averaged short at 34.18. Profit on the trade of $840 per 100 shares minus commissions.

7) HUM - Shorted at 85.23. Stop loss at 86.20. Stock closed on Friday at 84.38.

8) SIRI - Averaged long at 3.055 (2 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 3.35.

9) HYGS - Purchased at 11.92. Stop loss at 10.68. Stock closed on Friday at 13.95.

10) VHC - Liquidated at 21.13. Purchased at 21.65. Loss on the trade of $52 per 100 shares plus commissions.

11) KGC - Purchased at 4.57. Averaged long at 5.26 (3 mentions). Stop loss now at 4.43. Stock closed on Friday at 5.10.

12) JNJ - Shorted at 84.57 and 85.21. Averaged short at 84.89 (2 mentions) Stop loss now at 87.92. Stock closed on Friday at 85.86.

13) DD - Shorted at 56.12. Stop loss now at 54.40. Stock closed on Friday at 52.50.

14) VHC - Purchased at 18.91. Stop loss at 18.20. Stock closed on Friday at 19.99.

15) AMZN - Shorted at 273.93. Covered shorts at 277.50. Loss on the trade of $157 per 100 shares minus commissions.

16) AMZN - Shorted at 280.09. Covered short at 277.81. Profit on the trade of $228 per 100 shares minus commissions.

17) AAPL - Purchased 5 options at $6.60. Mental stop loss if stock breaks below 385.10. Options closed at 8.24 on Friday.


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Disclaimer

The opinions and commentaries by Mr. De Vito are not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a charting guideline, based on his own knowledge and experience, regarding the stocks he is following or that are brought to him by others. Mr. De Vito does not presently offer a track record of his trading experiences. No inference of success and/or failure should be assumed. The information enclosed above, regarding his background, length of trading, and experience, is correct but is not meant to suggest, state, or infer any future success in trading, based on his opinions.

The information herewith included should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. Mr. De Vito accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of the information and/or comments he supplies.




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