Issue #443
September 6, 2015
The Oasis

Newsletter


The newsletter with chart analysis for stocks and stock indexes

Stock Indexes Analysis/Evaluation


Correction Continues! Further Downside to be Seen.

DOW Friday closing price - 16102

The DOW made a new 17-month weekly closing low on Friday and in the process gave an additional sell signal, having broken the decent weekly close support from October of last year at 16380. The index closed near the lows of the week and further downside below last week's low at 15979 is expected to be seen this week.

The DOW has now fallen 11.2% from the high weekly close at 18272 and seems to be mimicking the correction seen in 2011 in which the index fell (based on weekly closing prices) 16% from the highs from 12810 to 10771. If the index duplicates the 16% correction seen in 2011 correction, it will likely see a weekly close at 15348 before any lasting recovery occurs.

It should be mentioned, that the 200-week MA in the DOW is currently at 15315 and given that there are 2 previous intra-week lows of some consequence at 15340 (spike low seen in February 2014) and 15370 (recent spike low seen 3 weeks ago), it does suggest that if the stock starts trading once again below 16,000 that those downside levels will be magnet objectives. It should also be mentioned that in 2011, and on an intra-week basis, the index did break the first low by .02% before a lasting recovery started, meaning that on an intra-week basis the index could end up seeing a 15077 low before a lasting recovery ensues, if and when this is not a downtrend but simply a correction. It must also be stated that this downside objective is not necessarily one that will be seen this week, but likely seen sometime between the end of the month and mid-October.

To the upside and on an intra-week basis, minor resistance will be found at 16550 and at 16669 which are the 2 intra-week highs seen over the last 10 trading days. Additional resistance is likely to be found at 16700 (general resistance) and then decent resistance will be found between the 17000 demilitarized zone (16970 and 17030) and 17151, which does include the 100-week MA, currently at 17000 as well as the previous low weekly close at 17164 that when broken brought about the recent sell interest.

To the downside and on an intra-week basis, support is minor at last week's low at 15979, a bit stronger at the October low at 15855 and decent at the recent low at 15370, which does include a previous low from February 2014 at 15370 as well as the 200-week MA, currently at 15315. Below that level, there are no important supports but it must be mentioned that the 50-month MA is currently at 15090 and that is a line that on a monthly closing basis has not been broken since 2010.

The bears are presently in control in the DOW and based on the inability of the bulls to get above the previous week's high last week (16669 vs high last week at 16632), it does seem likely that they will attempt to squeeze the most of the downside this week, given that the following week is when the Fed will be making their interest rate announcement for September and a lot fundamentally will hinge on that. As such, there is likely to be no better week than this coming week for the bears to push down, given that fundamental news will be at a minimum.

By the same token, it is unlikely that the downside objectives mentioned above will be reached this week, meaning that sell pressure can be expected but may be limited. In the DOW, the 15855 level is highly likely to be seen but below that "the sledding" might get more difficult. Possible trading range for the week could be something as simple at 15700 to 16300 (general trading zone).

NASDAQ Friday closing price - 4683

The NASDAQ made another new 8-month weekly closing low but remained the most supported index, inasmuch as the weekly close support levels from January at 4635-4653 were not broken, compared with the fact that the DOW and the SPX have already broken theirs.

Also confirming the return of the NASDAQ leadership is the fact that the low seen just 3 weeks ago at 4292 is 8.4% away from Friday's close, whereas the DOW and the SPX are only 4.5% and 2.9% (respectively) away from their recent lows.

The NASDAQ closed near the lows of the week and further downside below 4614 is likely to be seen this week. Nonetheless, there is quite a bit of important support 100 points below, meaning that the bears will need to ramp up their selling pressure specifically in the index if they want to generate new traders to the short side.

To the upside and on intra-week basis, the NASDAQ shows decent resistance between 4800 and 4836, which includes the 2 major highs from November and December at 4810 and at 4814. Above that level there is no resistance until the 200-day MA, currently at 4910, is reached.

To the downside and on an intra-week basis, minor support in the NASDAQ is found at 4614 and at 4580 and then decent support between 4547 and 4563. On a daily closing basis, support is found at 4547 and at 4500 (which is the most recent low daily close seen the day after the 4292 low was made). Below that level there is no intra-week support until the 4292 level is reached.

The NASDAQ has now generated 3 weekly closes below the 50-week MA, currently at 4850, which is a line that had not been broken for 3 weeks in a row since January 2012, suggesting the correction still has more to go. The main objective is likely to be the 100-week MA, currently at 4525, which is a line that did get broken on a weekly closing basis on 3 occasions in 2011 (by 100 points, by 40 points and by 65 points). By the same token, it must be mentioned that none of the breaks of line occurred 2 weeks in a row, meaning that the 100-week MA is a target but one that is not likely to generate much further downside if broken, other than perhaps on an intra-week basis and not likely for more than a week.

The NASDAQ is highly likely to head down to the 100-week MA this coming week, given that the 50-week MA is now considered a confirmed resistance level and that the recent lows must be tested before any thoughts of re-starting the uptrend can occur. As such, expect the 4500-4547 level to be seen this coming week.

SPX Friday closing price - 1921

The SPX was the index most negatively chart affected this past week, given the fact that the index closed below the 100-week MA, currently at 1965, for the first time since November 2011. The break of the MA has now made the SPX become the 2nd index to break the line (DOW was the first), which in turn has clearly confirmed that the index market is in a major correction and that a resumption of the uptrend is not likely to be seen at this time.

The SPX closed near the lows of the week and further downside below last week's low at 1903 is likely to be seen. Given that the recent spike low at 1867 is only 2.9% from Friday's close and that the index fell 3.4% last week, does suggest that the probabilities are high that a new low for this move will be seen this coming week.

It should also be mentioned that the SPX is likely to be the index experiencing the most selling pressure this coming week, given that it "just received" a strong sell signal on Friday, having broken a line that has not been broken for almost 4 years.

To the upside and on an intra-week basis, the SPX shows minor resistance at 1975 and a bit stronger at 1993. Above that level, there is no resistance of consequence until 2019 is reached.

To the downside and on an intra-week basis, minor support is found at 1903 and at the recent low of 1867. Below that level, there is no support until decent and likely pivotal support at 1820.

The SPX is likely to be the index the traders watch the closest this week, inasmuch as the recent low at 1867 was considered to be a spike low a couple of weeks ago but that now looks like it will get broken, perhaps as early as this week, meaning that the correction is not only occurring but likely to be "extended".

It should also be mentioned that a break of 1867 in the SPX will cause the 1820 level to become a magnet for the traders as well as a level that the bears will see as somewhat pivotal for the short term, and a level that if broken would bring about additional selling as the next area of support would not be found until the 200-week MA, currently at 1715, is reached. It must be mentioned that in 2011, the index did reach and temporarily break the 200-week MA, suggesting that reaching that level on this occasion is not a far-fetched idea at this time.

Expect the SPX to be the leader to the downside this week and that a new low to this present move down will be seen.


The correction continues and this coming week is likely to see further downside, especially since there are no economic reports scheduled that could help the bulls turn things around. Several new sell signals were given this past week as some important MA lines were either broken or confirmed broken, meaning that the bulls will not have help from the charts this week.

The September Fed meeting is still going to be a main topic of discussion but since the results of that meeting will not be made public until Wednesday the 17th, it is unlikely that it will help the bulls this week, especially since 72% of the analysts already believe they will "not" raise interest rates in September. Simply stated, most of the positives of not raising interest rates are already "factored in" to the current prices.

With the World's markets mostly in a negative swoon and September having a reputation for being the worst month of the year for stocks, it seems safe to assume that the bears will be in control this coming week.

Stock Analysis/Evaluation
CHART Outlooks

The indexes and most stocks all had a negative week and several new sell signals were given, suggesting that further downside is the most likely scenario. By the same token, most stocks that are likely to continue lower have already dropped in price considerably, meaning that choosing an intelligent stop loss point that offers a reasonable risk/reward ratio is hard to find.

On the other side of the coin though, there are some already depressed-in-price stocks where consideration for buying can be given. Nonetheless, the charts of those stocks suggest that waiting at least 1 more week (if not slightly longer) would be the best thing to do.

All mentions this week are sales but because of the need to use sensitive stop losses, the probability ratings will be low.

IBM Friday Closing Price - 143.70

IBM remains a strong candidate for much lower prices, given that it is sensitive to the index market but has also recently received a disappointing earnings outlook. In addition, it is not presently a company that seems to be on the "cutting edge" of new innovation in the Tech sector, meaning that it has been losing market share and will likely continue to do so.

Three weeks ago, IBM broke through a 4-year support level at $150 and has now confirmed the break with 2 additional weekly closes below that area, suggesting that the bulls have no ammunition at this time with which to generate any new buying interest, especially if the index market does not help them.

To the downside, IBM shows no previous support built until the $120-$130 level is reached, and having closed on Friday at $143.70, it does suggest that further downside of anywhere between $14-$24 per share is likely to be seen.

To the upside, IBM shows no resistance of consequence until the previous low weekly close at 153.31 is reached. Nonetheless, over the previous 7 trading days, the stock has paused and traded mostly sideways and has built to intra-week resistance levels at 148.03 and 148.97 and those levels are not likely to be broken unless the index market "and the stock" find a good reason to rally.

Finding the best entry point into a short right now is the biggest problem facing the bears as the stock did close near the lows of the week and sell pressure is likely to be seen this week from the "get-go". The stock does show a mini island gap formation, having gapped up on Thursday between 145.08 and 145.77 and gapped down on Friday between 145.77 and 145.40. The gap could be closed but the bearish chart do not suggest it will be, meaning that the best entry point into a short at this time is not likely to be better than 145.07/145.40 and even getting that high may be a problem.

Sales of IBM between Friday's closing price at 143.70 and up to 145.30 and using a stop loss at 149.35 and having a $120 objective, will offer a 4-1 risk/reward ratio. Even if the stock only gets down to the $130 level, the risk/reward ratio will be at least 2.5-1.

My rating on the trade is a 3 (on a scale of 1-5 with 5 being the highest.

CAT Friday Closing Price - 73.10

CAT made a new 5-year weekly closing low on Friday, having broken the previous weekly close support from September 2011 at 73.84. The break opens the door for the stock to drop all the way down to the next important support level between $60-$63, as no other "weekly close" support can be found anywhere else close by.

To the downside and on an intra-week basis, CAT chart shows some intra-week support at the most recent low seen last month at 70.23. Further intra-week support will be found at the low seen in 2011 at 67.54. Nonetheless, below those 2 levels there is no previous intra-week support until 59.60 is reached. Additional and important support is found at 57.98, that does include the 200-month MA, currently at 58.30.

To the upside, CAT shows resistance at the most recent 3-week high at 76.77 that will be used as the stop loss area since a break of that level would be a break of the lower-lows pattern seen since May.

The chart of CAT is definitely bearish at this time and though there are some decently important intra-week support levels at 70.32 and at 67.54, the monthly chart does suggest those will be broken. Either way, the weekly chart suggests that a drop down to the 67.54 level is highly likely to occur, meaning that a short position at this time looks to be profitable, with the only question being "how profitable?".

Sales of CAT between Friday's closing price at 73.10 and up to 74.71 and using a stop loss at 77.35 and having an objective of 59.60 will offer a 3-1 risk/reward ratio.

My rating on the trade is a 2.75 (on a scale of 1-5 with 5 being the highest).

LNG Friday Closing Price - 56.10

LNG made a new 15-month weekly closing low 5 weeks ago, having broken the pivotal weekly close support at 64.88, as well as the pivotal intra-week support at $60. The stock 2 weeks ago rallied when the indexes bounced up from their lows and generated a small green weekly close at 63.48 that is now considered a successful retest of the break, especially with the stock aggressively generating a strong down week last week with a 55.93 low and a clear break of the $60 level.

The LNG chart strongly suggests that the stock is heading down to at least a previous intra-week high of great consequence from April 2006 at 44.40 or even likely down to the 200-week MA, currently at 41.75, with a decent chance that on an intra-week basis, that the $40 level will be seen, given that there is very little (and mostly very minor) intra-week support until that level is reached.

The biggest problem with the short trade in LNG is that there isn't any level or resistance close by that would offer even a decent risk/reward ratio, meaning that the trade will be totally dependent on momentum and the stop loss will be extremely sensitive and very likely to be triggered if the momentum simply pauses.

Sales of LNG between Friday's close at 56.10 and up to 56.75 and using a sensitive stop loss at 57.35 and having at least a 44.40 objective will offer a 10-1 risk/reward ratio. Even though the stop loss is extremely sensitive and easily triggered, the trade is worth doing because the momentum is on the bear side and the risk/reward ratio is high.

My rating on the trade is 2.5 (50-50) (on a scale of 1-5 with 5 being the highest.

Updates
Monthly & Yearly Portfolio Results
Closed Trades, Open Positions and Stop Loss Changes

Status of account for 2007: Profit of $9,758 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2008: Profit of $14,704 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2009: Profit of $7,523 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2010: Profit of $24,045 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2011: Profit of $3,616 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2012: Profit of $3,399 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2013: Profit of $15,886 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2014: Profit of $21221 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.

Status of account for 2015, as of 8/1

Loss of $5724 using 100 shares per mention (after commissions & losses)

Closed out profitable trades for August per 100 shares per mention (after commission)

NONE

Closed positions with increase in equity above last months close minus commissions.

NONE

Total Profit for August, per 100 shares and after commissions $0

Closed out losing trades for August per 100 shares of each mention (including commission)

GOOG (short) $229
AREX (long) $152
XOM (long) $45

Closed positions with decrease in equity below last months close plus commissions.

VHC (long) $151
SINA (long) $329
HD (short) $414

Total Loss for August, per 100 shares, including commissions $1320

Open positions in profit per 100 shares per mention as of 8/31

NFLX (short) $672
PGR (short) $105
KMX (short) $814
PRAA (short) $1035
PHM (short) $137
LVLT (short) $237
WMT (short) $74

Open positions with increase in equity above last months close.

PGR (short) $54
FSLR (long) $1416
FCEL (long) $0

Total $4544

Open positions in loss per 100 shares per mention as of 8/31

XOM (long) $317
IBM (short) $159

Open positions with decrease in equity below last months close.

ARNA (long) $399
AREX (long) $399
ENG (long) $57

Total $1331

Status of trades for month of August per 100 shares on each mention after losses and commission subtractions.

Profit of $1893

Status of account/portfolio for 2015, as of 8/31

Loss of $3831 using 100 shares traded per mention.



Updates on Held Stocks

AREX was able to build on the previous week's positive reversal, having gone above the previous week's high and generating a second green weekly close in a row. The stock closed near the highs of the week and further upside above last week's high at 2.64 is likely to be seen. With oil prices having recovered almost 25% in value, the stock now also has some fundamental support with which to continue higher, especially since there is no chart resistance of consequence above until the $5 level is reached. In addition, the stock is still highly oversold after experiencing 15 out of 16 red weekly closes from May to August, suggesting that a short-covering rally could be seen at any time. Very minor resistance is found at 2.64 and then "slightly" stronger at 3.03. Above that level though, there is no resistance of consequence until the 5.00 level is reached. Minor support is found at 2.13 at 1.86 and a bit stronger at the recent low at 1.65. Probabilities favor the bulls.

ARNA seems to have found a level of support around the 2.54 level where further downside will be labored and difficult to achieve. The stock has now traded for the past 8 trading days between 2.54 and 2.84, in spite of the wild gyrations seen in the index market, also suggesting that the bears may have run out of ammunition while the bulls have not yet gotten any new ammunition with which to rally the stock. The stock "technically" generated a positive reversal last week, having made a new multi-year low at 2.54 (1 point below the previous week's low at 2.55) but then closing in the green and in the upper half of the week's trading range, suggesting further upside above last week's high at 2.84 will be seen this week. Very minor weekly close resistance is found at 2.80 and a bit stronger at 3.07, which includes the most recent mini-spike high at 3.05. Further resistance is found at 3.32, which represents the important low weekly close that got broken and that brought about this recent drop down to 2.54. Probabilities seem to favor the bulls slightly this week but not for any strong move to the upside, likely more for a "small" short-covering rally.

ENG generated a green weekly close on Friday that could signal the beginning of a small short-covering rally. Unfortunately, the bulls were unable to get above the previous weeks high at 1.06 in spite of the green weekly close, meaning that the bulls still have no ammunition with which to generate new buying interest. Nonetheless, the stock did close on the highs of the week and further upside above last week's high at 1.04 is expected to be seen, suggesting that if the 1.06 level is broken that 1.09 will be seen and if 1.09 is broken that perhaps a rally up to the recent breakdown low at 1.28 (1.31 on a weekly closing basis) might occur. It should be mentioned that between July and October 2013 the stock traded between .93 and 1.35 and having seen a low of .87 cents 3 weeks ago, the probabilities of the stock generating the same kind of movement and trading range are high. Probabilities slightly favor the bulls this week.

FCEL has generated a 33% rally in price over the past 2 weeks (25% off of the weekly closing prices), giving notice that the downtrend is over as any rally above 20% usually means a change of trend. The stock closed near the highs of the week and further upside above last week's high at .95 is expected to be seen. Nonetheless, the action this week will likely be dependent on the earnings report that comes out on Tuesday after the market closes and if the report disappoints, all could be negated. By the same token, it is unlikely the report will disappoint as the company has been quite constant over the past 2 years with its earnings reports and continues to come up with new business, suggesting that better numbers than the last report (rather than worse numbers) are the probability, especially given the fact that the last report was below expectations. General resistance will be found at the 1.00 level but based on the chart, any weekly close above 1.12 will be a strong positive, as well as any daily close above the 200-day MA, currently at 1.20. Support of consequence is found between .64 and .70. Probabilities favor the bulls.

FSLR generated a small reversal week, having gone above the previous week's high and then closing in the red and near the lows of the week, suggesting further downside below last week's low at 46.39 will be seen this week. The stock has been somewhat sensitive to the index market (though not totally) and will likely be affected by what the index market does this week, which is anticipated to be down. Very minor intra-week support is found at 46.39 and then nothing until minor intra-week support is found at 44.09. Stronger intra-week support is found between 42.71 and 43.28. Nonetheless, on a weekly closing basis, it is unlikely that the 200-week MA, currently at 44.00, will be broken, though it is likely to be seen if the indexes do what they are expected to do. Resistance is found at last week's high at 49.34 and then at the 200-day MA, currently at 50.90. Probabilities favor the bears this week.

IBM generated yet another red weekly close, the 12th out of the last 16 weeks and the third in a row since breaking the weekly close support 153.31, and the recent selling has put the stock into a bit of a tailspin, given that there is no support close-by below. The stock closed near the lows of the week and further downside below last week's low at 141.85 is expected to be seen. It does need to be mentioned that there is no chart support found until the 131.38 level (based on the weekly closing chart) is reached. Even then, that support is from a previous high weekly close. Previous low weekly close support is not found until the $122 level is reached. Minor intra-week resistance is found at 148.03 and slightly stronger at 148.93. This stock is worth chasing, now using a stop loss at 149.35 and having at least a $131 objective, if not all the way down to the $120-$122 level. Sales can be considered around the 144.00 level since the chart does not suggest that the bulls will be able to get the stock above that level at this time. Sales of the stock around 144.00 and using a 149.35 stop loss and having a 122.00 objective will offer a 4-1 risk/reward ratio.

KMX generated a negative reversal week, having gone above the previous week's high and then closing in the red and in the bottom half of the week's trading range, suggesting further downside below last week's low at 58.28 will be seen this week. Nonetheless, the bulls were able to close the stock on Friday in the $60 demilitarized zone, leaving the door open for recovery if and when the indexes don't head lower and/or some positive news comes out. By the same token, the chart is leaning to the downside and a daily close below 58.56 would likely tip the scales toward the bears, while a daily close below 57.18 would be a new sell signal that would suggest a drop to somewhere between 51.21 and 53.78 would be seen. Any daily close above 62.10 would tip the scales toward the bulls, while a daily close above 63.13 would generate a buy signal. Probabilities favor the bears but with a slight margin.

LVLT generated a new 10-month intra-week and weekly closing low this week, keeping the recent downtrend intact, given that the red weekly close was the 9th in a row and the 16th out of the last 19 since the 6-year high at 57.08 was made in May. The bulls though, were able to close the stock in the upper half of the week's trading range, likely because of the upgrade that was given to the stock on Tuesday, meaning that the week's direction is muddled at this time. By the same token, the bulls were unable to generate even the most minimum buy signal on the daily closing chart, even after the upgrade, suggesting that the probabilities still favor the bears. Resistance is found at 45.87, a bit stronger and likely more pivotal at 46.24 and then from the weekly charts and likely the most pivotal between 47.00 and 47.50. The stock is showing a bearish inverted flag formation with the flagpole being the drop between 49.73 and 42.89 and the flag the trading range seen the last 11 trading days between 42.89 and 46.24. A break below 42.89 would offer a 39.40 downside objective.

PGR generated a red weekly close on Friday, but more importantly it was below the $30 demilitarized zone, suggesting that for now the bears have the edge. The stock closed near the lows of the week and further downside, below last week's low at 29.12, is likely to be seen this week. Nonetheless, the stock has been acting slightly better than other stocks that are index dependent, suggesting that the recent intra-week low at 27.23 is not likely to get broken unless the indexes get into downtrend, rather than a correction. As such, the likely best scenario for the bears would be a drop back down to the 200-day MA, currently at 27.70. Minor support is found at 29.12 and then nothing until the 27.70 to 28.00 level is reached. Resistance above is found at 30.08 and 30.38 which if broken would suggest the recent all-time high will be tested. Probabilities favor the bears but with only the real possibility of the stock dropping an additional 6% in value, the stock is not considered one that should be kept if other opportunities arise.

PHM generated the 3rd red close week in a row but the action seen during the week does not give the bears a big edge on the charts that they would like to have. The stock did rally to close the gap left 2 weeks ago between 20.67 and 20.81, meaning that there aren't many reasons for the stock to rally from here, especially if the indexes are heading lower. By the same token, some support will be found at 19.28 that if not broken this coming week would suggest a sideways market rather than a corrective one. Support is found at 19.28, at 18.90 and at 18.61 that if all are broken then the trade objective of reaching the 200-week MA, currently at 17.10, will likely be fulfilled. Resistance is now found at last week's high at 20.87 that if broken, the short should be covered. By the same token, this is not a trade that offers a high profit potential, meaning that if a better opportunity is found that it should be taken and the small profit on the short procured.

PRAA generated a new 6-month low, as well as breaking 2 decent weekly close supports at 53.48 and at 51.90, suggesting the bears are now in total control of the short-term trend. The stock closed on the lows of the week and further downside below last week's low at 51.07 is likely to be seen this week. Support is decent to perhaps even strong between 50.29 and down to 47.34 that will be difficult to break. The stock should get down to at least the 50.29 level where consideration for taking profits could be given. By the same token, the momentum is on the side of the bears and if the indexes head lower toward their downside objectives, it is possible the traders will attempt to trigger all the stop loss orders below and take the stock down to the 200-week MA, currently at 46.10. As such, it will likely be worth using some restrain when considering taking profits. Any rally now above 54.15 would be reason to consider covering the shorts.

WMT continued the downtrend, having generated the third red weekly close in a row below the 3-year weekly close support at 67.37. The stock closed on the lows of the week and further downside below last week's low at 63.27 is likely to be seen this week. By the same token, previous high weekly close support is found at 62.41/62.48 that is likely to stop putting a brake on the downtrend, even though on an intra-week basis the stock could drop down as low at 57.18 which is where previous intra-week low support is found. Intra-week resistance is found at 66.17 that if broken would be reason to consider covering the short positions. Probabilities favor the bears.

XOM was unable to follow through to the upside, above last week's high, and closed in the red and on the lows of the week, suggesting further downside below last week's low at 71.51 is likely to be seen. The inability to follow through to the upside was likely due to the fact that oil prices also did not follow through and experienced a bit of retracement that was not unexpected given the fact that they had rallied over 25% in price the week before. Minor support is found at 71.51 and below that there is no recent established support until the recent low at 66.55 is reached. Nonetheless, the $70 demilitarized zone should offer decent support, given its psychological nature as well as from the fact that in 2011 the $70 demilitarized zone provided support on a total of 8 different weeks. Probabilities favor the bears this week but in reality the bulls seem to have turned things around and as such, after a short retracement the bulls should see further upside.


1) FCEL - Averaged long at 2.227 (4 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at .91.

2) ENG - Averaged long at 1.92 (3 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 1.03.

3) FSLR - Averaged long at 59.404 (4 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 46.94.

4) AREX - Averaged long at 6.013 (3 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 2.44.

5) ARNA - Averaged long at 4.30 (3 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 2.74.

6) PGR - Averaged short at 30.73 (2 mentions). Stock closed on Friday at 29.47.

7) PHM - Shorted at 22.06. Stop loss now at 22.35. Stock closed on Friday at 20.24.

8) PRAA - Shorted at 63.64. Stop loss now at 59.35. Stock closed on Friday at 51.38.

9) KMX - Averaged short at 65.12 (2 mentions). Stop loss at 64.35. Stock closed on Friday at 60.02.

10) XOM - Averaged long at 76.825 (2 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 72.46.

11) IBM - Shorted at 147.16.. Averaged short at 146.73. No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 143.70.

12) NFLX - Covered shorts at 102.14 and at 101.68. Averaged short at 118.39. Profit on the trade of $3296 per 100 shares minus commissions.

13) LVLT - Shorted at 47.10. Stop loss now at 47.65. Stock closed on Friday at 44.96.

14) WMT - Shorted at 65.47. No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 63.89.


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Disclaimer

The opinions and commentaries by Mr. De Vito are not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a charting guideline, based on his own knowledge and experience, regarding the stocks he is following or that are brought to him by others. Mr. De Vito does not presently offer a track record of his trading experiences. No inference of success and/or failure should be assumed. The information enclosed above, regarding his background, length of trading, and experience, is correct but is not meant to suggest, state, or infer any future success in trading, based on his opinions.

The information herewith included should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. Mr. De Vito accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of the information and/or comments he supplies.




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