Issue #713 ![]() Apr 4, 2021 | Newsletter
The newsletter with chart analysis for stocks and stock indexes |
Stock Indexes Analysis/Evaluation
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Bulls in Full Control. More Upside Expected, but Limited in Nature.
DOW Friday closing price - 33153
The DOW and the SPX both made new all-time intraweek and weekly closing highs on Friday and closed near or on the highs of the week and further upside above last week's highs (DOW at 33259 and SPX at 4020) is expected to be seen this week. The NASDAQ did not make a new all-time high but did break above a 5-week established resistance level at 13300 (13282 (on a daily closing basis) and also closed on the high of the week and further upside above last week's high at 13333 is expected to be seen. This action is confirmation that the mini correction is over. In this short correction, the DOW corrected 3.5%, the SPX corrected 3.7% and the NASDAQ corrected 3.4%. This amount of correction mimics what happened 2 weeks after the November 6 election, and from which the uptrend resumed but on a slower pace.
It does need to be mentioned that today (Friday 4/2), the Jobs report came out and it was better than anticipated (916k vs expected 698k) and the indexes are trading about .004% higher in Europe.
The dichotomy between the DOW and the NASDAQ reversed in favor of the NAZ this past week. This is not to say that overall the NASDAQ is now leading the market as all indexes show this correction having been even between them all (see above), but to say that the DOW is not continuing to outpace the NAZ. What this suggests is that the uptrend is to continue across the board but not in the kind of "hot" phase that was occurring when the Tech industry was leading the parade. It means that things are better across the board but that no single industry is getting more buying than the others. It means the "pandemic" itself is not giving any industry a further advantage over the others.
With the news being positive and there being no resistance above in the DOW or the SPX, there is nothing above on the charts to stop the rally. By the same token, there is still clear resistance above in the NASDAQ that is about 4% higher than Friday's close. Evidently, testing that previous all-time high is a valid objective and that suggests the other indexes may rally the same amount as well. A 4% rally in the DOW would put the index up around 34,479 and put the SPX around 4179. That means the DOW could rally about 1200 points higher and the SPX around 60 points higher, if all indexes rally about the same percentage as the NAZ. The 2nd earnings quarter starts the following week (after next week) and that will be when the fundamentals kick in again to decide whether the rally is to be more or less than what is expected to be seen in the charts.
Evidently and given there is no resistance above except in the NASDAQ at 13879, the traders will be watching the support levels below to see if there are any surprises that could change the chart outlook. On an intraweek basis, the DOW has no pivotal support until 32071 and that is not likely to be reached or broken. As such, the traders will be watching to see if there is a failure signal given that would put the index into a sideways mode (rather than continuing upward). As such, the level to watch is the 33000 demilitarized zone. Any "daily" close now below 32970 would be considered a failure. In the SPX that level is at 3974 and in the NASDAQ it is at 13202. Given that these levels are not far away from Thursday's close, it would suggest that the indexes must continue higher at the beginning of the week before any small pullback occurs.
What happened in November, after the mini correction that was seen, was further upside but limited and with lots of small peaks and valleys. It is likely the same thing will continue to be seen this coming week and perhaps throughout the first 3 weeks of the coming earnings quarter. Continued upside with 1 or two days of green followed by a red day. There is absolutely no reason at this time to believe that without any positive catalytic news scheduled that the indexes will continue to spike up.
As such, probabilities favor the bulls this week.
SILVER made a new 16-week intraweek low but in the end it turned out to be uneventful from the point of view that is closed only $.15 below the previous week's low and no new signal was given, suggesting it remains in a sideways trend awaiting some catalyst for direction. Silver did close near the high of the week and further upside above last week's high at 25.24 is expected to be seen this week. There is intraweek resistance at 26.13 that is likely to be reached but unlikely to be broken. Last week's low at 23.74 is now short term pivotal because if broken it would give the bears open air for a drop down to 22.62. By the same token, there is pivotal resistance at 26.74 that if broken would give the bulls open air to 28.10. Probabilities favor more sideways action with trading between 24.00 and 26.00.
OIL generated a green weekly close that confirmed that the correction is over for now. Oil did close near the high of the week and further upside above last week's high at 62.25 is expected to be seen this week. By the same token, the action seen did not suggest the uptrend is resuming but that Oil is trading sideways until new news comes out. There is minor to decent intraweek resistance at 63.38 that is unlikely to be broken without new positive news. Intraweek support is now found at 59.24 that has a decent probability of being seen but not likely to be broken. Like with the Metals, Oil seems to be in a sideways trading range awaiting new news. One important thing to watch is the 62.27 area where there is some short-term resistance. If the bulls are unable to break above 62.27 (and go up to 63.38), the chart will be showing a bearish inverted flag formation that if the bottom of the flag at 59.27 is broken, the flag formation objective would be 51.58. Probabilities very slightly favor the bulls this week.
DOLLAR made yet another new 21-week intraweek high but did begin to run into some selling interest as the next intraweek resistance area at 93.66 was approached with last week's high at 93.47. The bears were able to generate enough selling to close very slightly in the lower half of the week's trading range, suggesting a very slightly higher probability of going below last week's low at 92.72 than above last week's high at 93.47. On the weekly closing chart, there is some minor (but clearly defined) resistance around 93.00, having closed in that area 4 times in the last 7 months. Like with the metals and oil, it seems the dollar also is finding itself in an area where some sideways trading will occur. Pivotal support is found at 91.72 and pivotal resistance is found at 94.33. Trading within that range for the next few weeks while the fundamental picture gets cleared up a bit more is the most likely scenario. For this week though, the probabilities very slightly favor the bears.
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Stock Analysis/Evaluation
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CHART Outlooks
I don't expect much to happen this week so I was not planning to have a mention. Nonetheless, in looking at a few message boards and talking to a few friends I was told (or found) a couple of stocks that can be played. One of these stocks has been among the manipulated pump and dump stocks, one of the stocks is in the Marijuana industry but has seen some big moves recently and one of the stocks was given to me as much of a sure thing for the future as it can be in this market, though the timing of it is impossible to define. Two of these stocks are risky plays (for success) though all of these stocks do have stop loss points nearby that actually offer small risk.
In addition and given in the held stocks comments below, I do believe ZLAB is a good buy this week. Details on this mention can be found below among the comments on held stocks.
ZOM Friday Closing Price - 1.46
ZOM is one of those manipulated pump and dump stocks that went from $.23 cents to $2.94 cents in a period of 9 weeks and is now more than 50% lower from its high. It is a stock that recently developed and is putting into the market a diagnostic test for cats and dogs that is able to diagnose the problem with some certainty. It seems that because they are putting on market now, the stock exploded in price. I am not interested in the fundamental reasons but the stock is near a chart support that could hold up and if it does, it has a reachable upside target within the recent trading range that could be reached without any additional fundamental news.
ZOM first exploded to the upside the first day of January and went from a low of $.24 cents to a high 1.48 over a period of 7 days. The stock then corrected back down to $.81 cents before resuming the up move that ultimately took it to 2.94 3 weeks later. The key here is that the stock did generate a daily high close at 1.30 on that original surge. Subsequently, a intraweek drop down to 1.33 was seen, that does suggest that 1.30 level was a successful retest of that high daily close breakout as the stock then went back up to 2.72, which was then followed by 3 red weeks in a row and a drop back down to last week's low at 1.43 and a close on the low of the week, suggesting further downside below that level will be seen this week. It also needs to be mentioned that 30 months ago and before all this new news occurred, the stock did find intraweek support at 1.36, suggesting that there is a measure of buying interest and support in this 1.30-1.37 level.
To the upside and on an intraweek basis, ZOM has some minor resistance at 1.73 (last week's high), at 2.25, and then at the recent high at 2.72. On a daily closing basis, there is minor to perhaps decent but short-term pivotal resistance at 1.80 and then nothing until minor at 2.12. On the intraweek weekly chart, there is no resistance above until 2.29 (weekly close).
The chart suggests that on an intraweek basis, the stock could be in a trading range between 1.30 and 2.40 and therefore tradeable.
With some established support between 1.30 and 1.37 and the news still positive (though somewhat manipulated), it would suggest that only if there is disappointing news will the stock continue lower. By the same token, keep in mind that the support in this area is somewhat tenuous, especially considering the major rally that occurred.
Purchases of ZOM between 1.30 and 1.40 and using a stop loss at 1.20 and having a 2.40 objective offers a 5-1 risk/reward ratio. My rating on the trade is 2.5 (on a scale of 1-5 with 5 being the highest). Simply stated, it is at best a 50-50 trade probability.
SNDL Friday Closing Price - 1.10
SNDL is a stock I ran across in one of Facebook stock traders groups. Quite a few of the people there were bandying about purchase on the stock. I did look at the chart and the price and saw good chart reasons for buying. I then looked at what the company does, and I got even more interested as this is a Marijuana stock. As you know, I presently have 3 Marijuana stocks (CRON, BTZI, and SRITF) and I do believe that industry is going to go higher. As such I got more interested.
Like with BTZI, which broke out 7 weeks ago with a rally from .05 cents to .37 cents, SNDL 8 weeks ago went from .50 cents to 4.00 in a week and made a new 2-year intraweek high. Since then, the stock has given up 70% of its gains and finds itself back around the 1.00 level. What is interesting though, is that the original breakout came when the bulls closed above a 52-week weekly close resistance level at .97 and now the stock finds itself near that level, which means this move down is likely to be a retest of the breakout level before new buying comes in. It is interesting to note that SNDL has closed at 1.14, at 1.13, and last week at 1.10 on 3 of the last 4 weeks, strongly suggesting that the traders do consider this level dependable support.
SNDL did close on the low of the week and further downside below last week's low at 1.07 is expected to be seen this week. This does suggest that the .97 cent breakout level could be tested this week and that would be a buying opportunity.
To the downside and on an intraweek basis, SNDL shows short-term pivotal support at .93 cents, meaning that a stop loss at .83 cents can be used. Nonetheless, the breakout came from a low of .50 cents and the 200-day MA is currently at .68 cents and none of those levels should be broken, though if the stock does break below .93 cents, the MA is likely to be seen. This means that you could purchase the stock under 1.00 and put a stop loss at .83 cents and risk no more than .17 cents or give the stock a bit more room and put a hard stop at .46 cents and feel confident it will not likely get broken.
To the upside, SNDL has minor to decent as well as short-term pivotal resistance at 1.75. Above that level there is open air until the rally daily closing high at 2.95 is reached. In looking at the chart, the probable rally high of this mention will be 3.36, which is a resistance level that is established. By the same token, for the longer term, this breakout is likely to mean that ultimately the stock will go higher and above the established resistance at 4.00. All time high made 2 years ago is 13.22.
Purchases of SNDL below 1.00 and using a stop loss at .46 and having a 3.36 objective will offer a 4-1 risk/reward ratio. If the more sensitive stop loss is placed at .83 cent, the risk/reward ratio balloons to 14-1. Probability rating for this trade is a 3.25 (on a scale of 1-5 with 5 being the highest).
MRGE Friday Closing Price - .405
MRGE is a stock a good friend of mine gave me today. He is a fundamental trader who has a lot of connections with CEO's and the people-in-the know with many companies. Mirage Energy Corp. is a natural gas storage and pipeline company based in Texas, intends to construct a first-of-its-king massive underground natural gas storage facility with connecting bi-directional transmission pipeline to Mexico. This is something that has been planned for some time between the two countries with the only question is "when" it is going to get built. It has been stated that when it happens, the stock will be worth at least $2.50 (6 times higher than where it is trading now).
Chart-wise, MRGE was trading at .05 cents 10 months ago and then broke out to a high of .75 cents seen in November. The stock then dropped all the way down to the .19 cent level a few weeks later. Nonetheless, the stock over the past few months, and then also going back to last year, seems to be in a clearly defined and support trading range between .30 cents and .45 cents with the important fact that since the initial rally back in June of last week, the 200-day MA has been a brick wall support. During this period of time, the stock has gone down to that line on 3 occasions and the bears have not been able to break. With the fundamental picture being positive at this time, breaking that line seems an impossibility and that line is presently at .30 cents.
The chart of MRGE does not suggest that this coming week a drop down near the desired entry point around .30 cents will occur, but it could occur the following week. As it is, this mention is more of a buy and hold mention than a trading mention, though trading between .30 and .45 cents can be done repeatedly and with some success.
Purchases of MRGE around the .30 cent level and using a stop loss at .21 cents and having at least a .50 cent objective will offer a 2-1 risk/reward ratio. Nonetheless, considering the fundamental outlook that when the pipeline is built, the stock would be valued at $2.50, the risk/reward ratio would then be 24-1. I do want to mention that getting down to the .30 cent level is far from a certainty or even a high probability. It is a hopeful entry point. The stock has shown support at the .40 cent level for the past 3 weeks and it might not go back down. In fact, the stock closed near the high of the week this past week and could actually begin to climb from here right away. As such, this stock can be chased a bit, especially since it is a fundamental buy and hold trade for the $2.40 cent objective. Certainly, buying it at .40 and looking at the .30 cent level not breaking and having a 2.40 objective, offers a 20-1 risk/reward ratio.
The person who told me about this company felt quite strongly about the probabilities of all of this happening. He is a person whose knowledge of the fundamentals I trust. He is not good at trading or picking chart entry points and often has found himself in a losing positions before he cashes in, but ultimately he has the fundamental and people-in-the-now knowledge that has turned into profits.
These are the mentions this week. They are speculative (more so than I normally go for) so take them with a grain of salt.
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Updates
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Monthly & Yearly Portfolio Results
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Closed Trades, Open Positions and Stop Loss Changes
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Status of account for 2007: Profit of $9,758 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted.
Status of account for 2020: Loss of $16,684 per 100 shares after losses and commissions were subtracted. Status of account for 2020, as of 3/1 Profit of $11,459 using 100 shares per mention (after commissions & losses) Closed out profitable trades for March per 100 shares per mention (after commission)
FSLR (long) $274 W (short) $1212 (1 day trade)
Closed positions with increase in equity above last months close minus commissions.
FPRX (long) $1692 Total Profit for March, per 100 shares and after commissions $5,387 Closed out losing trades for March per 100 shares of each mention (including commission)
TDOC (long) $1356
AXP (short) $214 FSLR (long) $40 GPS (short) $74 RIO (long) $48 Closed positions with decrease in equity below last months close plus commissions.
XOM (short) $442 Total Loss for March, per 100 shares, including commissions $2,649 Open positions in profit per 100 shares per mention as of 3/31
ZLAB (long) $299
Open positions with increase in equity above last months close.
AU (long) $1206
CNX (long) $627 NEM (long) $2945 STRUF (long) $4 Total $5,622 Open positions in loss per 100 shares per mention as of 3/31
PGEN (long) $21
CRON (long) $1 ENG (long) $1 Open positions with decrease in equity below last months close.
ENG (long) $62 Total $388 Status of trades for month of March per 100 shares on each mention after losses and commission subtracted.
Profit of $7,972
Status of account/portfolio for 2021, as of 3/31
Profit of $19,431 per 100 shares.
AAPL generated the highest weekly close in the past 6 weeks and closed near the high of the week, suggesting further upside above last week's high at 124.18 will be seen this week. The chart is showing pivotal intraweek resistance at 127.22 and pivotal intraweek support at 116.21. Neither of these levels seem to be at risk of being broken this week. This does suggest the even though there will be a slight bias to the upside this week, the stock remains in a short-term sideways trading scenario and likely to remain as such until its earnings report comes out 3/28. The 200-day MA is currently at 117.65 and that will remain likely unbreakable support without new negative fundamental news. There is an open gap down at 120.40 and intraweek resistance at 125.39. Probabilities favor the stock trading in that range and reaching both levels at some point this week. Overall though, the chart leans in favor of the bulls for the longer term.
AG generated positive reversal week, having made a new 9-week low but then closing green and on the high of the week, suggesting further upside above last week's high at 16.46 will be seen this week. Nonetheless, no resistance levels were broken, suggesting the stock remains in an overall downtrend with peaks and valleys being seen repeatedly. The stock gapped up on Friday between 15.76 and 16.00 and given there was no news to support the gap, it is likely to be closed. There is a gap above between 16.57 and 16.68 that also has no reason to stay open and closure of that gap is likely as well. Pivotal resistance is found at 17.73 that if broken would suggest the downtrend is over. Given that the probabilities do not favor that occurring, if the stock does move higher this week at the beginning of the week and closes the gap above, consideration should be given to liquidating the positions and looking to re-purchase on a drop back down to the 15.01/15.13 level which is now the support level below. Probabilities do favor the bulls at the beginning of the week. AU went above the previous week's high and therefore confirming that the previous week's low at 19.64 is now a double bottom on the intraweek chart when put together with the 19.55 low made the first week of March. The stock closed on the high of the week and further upside above last week's high at 23.08 is expected to be seen. The 23.10 level is the 4-week intraweek high and a break of that level will be confirmation that the double bottom is legit. There is quite a bit or intraweek resistance between 23.67 and 24.10 that is unlikely to be broken at this time, before retesting the double bottom with a drop back down to the 22.00. Nonetheless, the stock has now built a decent bottom/support level that is unlikely to be broken without some negative fundamental news (not likely to occur), meaning that it is now expected that over the next 4-6 weeks that a rally back up to at least the 28.00 level is likely to occur. Any rally above 28.48 would be a bull statement. Probabilities do favor the bulls this week but the stock is showing an open gap below at 22.15 that is likely to be closed before any further upside above the 24.00 level can occur. BTZI generated an inside week in which nothing was accomplished by either side. The stock did close in the upper half of the week's trading range and further upside above last week's high at .149 is expected to occur. The previous weeks high and low at .175 and at .117 are now pivotal levels for each side. A break above .175 would like bring about a rally to .22, while a break below .117 would likely bring about a drop down to the .09 level. New York made Marijuana legal in the State this past week and that suggests the bulls have a defined edge. The chart is "very clear" on the levels in play. Probabilities slightly favor the bulls. CNX generated a negative reversal week, having made a new 28-month intraweek and weekly closing high and then closing red. The red close was not all that convincing given that it was only by $.28 cents but then again, the stock received a downgrade from "buy to hold" and was given a $16 upside objective and that did deflate the momentum to the upside. The stock did close in the upper half of the week's trading range, suggesting further upside above last week's high at 15.89 will be seen this week. There is established intraweek resistance between 16.09 and 16.42 that is at best minor to perhaps decent but with the downgrade is likely to have more strength. Prior to the downgrade, the upside objective was 17.07. Support will now be found between 13.83 and 14.03 and given that the probabilities now slightly favor the bears because of the downgrade and given that the risk/reward ratio in keeping the positions above the 16.00 level for a rally to 17.00 versus a drop down to 14.00 offers a negative 1-2 risk/reward ratio, my plans are to get out of the positions around the 16.00 level. If 16.43 is broken, then further upside will occur. CRON technically generated a positive reversal, having gone below the previous week's low at 8.98 (low was 8.96) and then turning around to close green. The stock did close in the middle of the week's trading range, suggesting equal chance of going above last week's high at 9.87 or below last week's low at 8.96. Nonetheless, the green close and news that Marijuana has been legalized in New York, as well as the fact that the bears have been unable to take the stock below the low seen 5 weeks ago at 8.66, does give the bulls the edge. The stock did gap up on Thursday between 9.32 and 9.36 and that gap should be closed on Monday but thereafter, it should all be green. There is no resistance on consequence until the 10.94 level is reached. Like with everything else, it seems likely the stock will trade sideways for the next couple of week, suggesting a trading range between 9.30 and 10.90 will be seen this week or between the next 2 weeks. Overall though, the chart is now slightly favoring the bulls. ENG generated a positive reversal week, having made a new 4-week low and then closing green. The stock closed very slightly in the upper half of the week's trading range, suggesting a slightly higher chance of going above last week's high at 4.98 than below last week's low at 3.96. The green weekly close did generate a double low at 4.31 and 4.32 and if confirmed with another green weekly close next Friday, would give new ammunition to the bulls. The stock gapped up on Thursday and the gap was closed on Friday, meaning there is no reason for the stock not to go higher this week. If Thursday's high at 4.98 is broken, there is no resistance above until 6.17, meaning that the stock can run a bit to the upside if the 4.98 level is broken. It should be noted that the stock had been trading below the 200 10-minute MA for the previous 8 days prior to Thursday when it got broken to the upside. The breakout was tested successfully twice on Friday and unless there is negative news on Monday (unlikely), the chart is set up for the bulls to take back some control. Evidently, the $5 demilitarized zone is psychological resistance and with the last week's high being 4.98, that level will be resistance this week. A weekly close below 4.31 would weaken the chart. Probabilities favor the bulls. NEM generated a green weekly close and maintained its recovery rally intact. By the same token, the stock remains under the 200-day MA, currently at 62.05 (closed on Friday at 61.81), and therefore remains in an overall down-to-sideways market. On a daily closing basis, pivotal resistance is found at 62.97 and short-term pivotal support is found at 59.88. Whichever is broken, a $2 movement is likely to occur. With Gold looking supportive for the short term and likely go up, the probabilities favor the bulls. PGEN generated a 2nd red weekly closing in a row, confirming the break of weekly close support at 7.81 as well as confirming the failure signal when it closed last week below the previous weekly close breakout point at 7.66. Nonetheless, the bulls were able to rally the stock to close near the high of the week and further upside above last week's high at 7.32 is expected to be seen. This rally is likely to retest both of the levels mentioned above. A close next Friday above 7.81 will negate both the sell signal and the failure signal. Any green close below that level will simply be seen as a retest of those levels and if followed by a red close the following week, the retest of the breakdown will be confirmed and new selling interest will be seen. The fundamental view for the company is bullish with the average upside objective of the rating companies following the stock is $13. There are no news releases scheduled, meaning that for now the stock is likely to trade technically. On a possibly strong positive note, the stock got down to the 200-day MA, currently at 6.45, with a low at 6.52 seen last week. With no negative news, that line is highly unlikely to be broken, meaning that a low to this correction has probably been made. A daily close above 7.17 will take some ammunition away from the bears and a daily close above 7.61 will take all of the ammunition away from the bears. Any daily close below 6.45 would be a negative. Probabilities favor the bulls. RIO technically generated a negative reversal week, having gone above the previous week's high and then closing red. Nonetheless, the red close was only by $.07 cents and the stock closed in the upper half of the week's trading range, suggesting that not only further upside above last week's high at 78.49 will be seen this week but that the action seen this past week was uneventful. As it is, the stock traded in a very narrow trading range of $2.02 cents (between 76.47 and 78.49) and that is the smallest trading range seen in the past 5 months, meaning that the bears seem to have run out of ammunition. There is very minor resistance at 78.49 and then no resistance above until once again very minor resistance is found at 82.50. The next resistance level of consequence is not found until 86.90 is reached. It must be mentioned that the stock has now corrected 19% from its high and that amount of correction is near the max allowed (20%) in a bull market, suggesting the correction is over. The chart also shows established support at the $74 level and established resistance at $90 and with the stock having seen both in the last 6 weeks, the probabilities now favor the stock moving back up again to the resistance level above in an effort to resume the uptrend previously in play. Pivotal intraweek support is found at 73.61. Probabilities favor the bulls. SRUTF generated a negative reversal week, having made a new 4-week high but then closing red and in the lower half of the week's trading range, suggesting further downside below last week's low at .046 will be seen this week. Nonetheless and for the past 3 trading days, the bulls have been attempting a breakout, having intraweek above the 7-month high weekly close at .0523 and close to the 11-month high weekly close at .0585 with a high this past week at .0561. A weekly close above .0585 would open the door for a rally up to the strong and long term pivotal resistance level at .20. The news for the Marijuana industry keeps getting better as last week New York made weed legal. That should continue to happen nationwide, especially under Biden's administration and this type of action suggests that sooner (rather than later) a breakout is coming to the stock. It is of note that the stock broke and stayed above the 200-day MA, currently .0446, for the past 3 days. This was the 3rd breakout above the line since the line was broken the first time the first week of February. Usually, the 3rd attempt is the charm. Any clear and confirmed daily close above .0485 will generate a new buy signal and get the ball rolling to the upside. Probabilities favor the bulls. ZLAB did not follow through to the downside this past week in spite of it closing in the lower half of the week's trading range the previous week and ended up with an inside week but a green close. The green close and the news (see below) do suggest the correction is over. The stock closed in the middle of the week's trading range, suggesting equal chances of going above last week's high at 137.25 or below last week's low at 124.63. Nonetheless, the company did get some good fundamental news as one of their drugs for gastrointestinal Cancer was approved last week. The stock was expected to open about $18 higher but only opened about $3 higher and that was a disappointment. Nonetheless, the stock closed green that day, meaning that it is a positive for the company. The stock did gap up that day (Thursday) but did not see follow through and as such, the gap became a magnet. The gap was closed on Friday but the stock did close near the low of the day, suggesting further downside below Friday's low at 129.76 will be seen on Monday. Intraweek support is now found at 127.39 and it could be seen on Monday. By the same token, if the recent low at 124.63 is not broken, the stock should begin to recover immediately as the stock is at important support and the news is positive. Intraweek resistance is found at last week's high at 137.25, then minor at 140.84, and then decent as well as short term pivotal at 150.29. By the same token, all those resistance levels are found in the daily chart. The weekly chart shows absolutely no resistance above until the 160.07 level is reached (previous low weekly close of importance. On an intraweek basis, there is no resistance above until 187.46 is reached. With the indexes moving higher, the stock receiving positive fundamental news, and the stock having held important support, the probabilities strongly favor the bulls. For those not in the stock or wanting to add positions to the stock, purchases should be made between 127.29 and 129.76 and using a stop loss at 124.53 and having at least a $160 objective, meaning that it is a 6-1 risk/reward ratio.
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1) TDOC - Purchased at 182.82. Averaged long at 183.23. Liquidated at 176.45. Loss on the trade of $1356 (2 mentions). 2) PGEN - Purchased at 7.80 and at 6.62. Averaged long at 7.506 (3 mentions). Stop close only at 6.45. Stock closed on Friday at 6.99. 3) SRUTF - Averaged long at .0738 (3 mentions). No stop loss at moment. Stock closed on Friday at .0481. 4) BTZI - Averaged long at .1225 (2 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at .14. 5) AAPL - Purchased at 119.97. Averaged long at 119.97 (2 mentions). Stop loss at 116.16. Stock closed on Friday at 123.00. 6) ZLAB - Purchased at 132.67. Averaged long at 131.925 (2 mentions). Stop loss now at 123.86. Stock closed on Friday at 130.96. 7) AU - Averaged long at 26.106 (6 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 22.98. 8) NEM - Averaged long at 61.08 (5 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 61.81. 9) CNX - Averaged long at 10.876 (3 mentions). Stop loss now at 13.68 (weekly stop close. Stock closed on Friday at 15.34. 10) RIO - Purchased at 76.15. Stop loss now at 73.51. Stock closed on Friday at 77.98. 11) AG - Purchased at 14.53. Averaged at 15.685 (2 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 16.43. 12) ENG - Purchased at 5.04. Averaged long at 4.92 (2 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 5.19.
Previous Newsletters
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The opinions and commentaries by Mr. De Vito are not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather
a charting guideline, based on his own knowledge and experience, regarding the stocks he is following or
that are brought to him by others. Mr. De Vito does not presently offer a track record of his trading experiences.
No inference of success and/or failure should be assumed. The
information enclosed above, regarding his background, length of trading, and experience, is correct
but is not meant to suggest, state, or infer any future success in trading, based on his opinions. The information herewith included should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. Mr. De Vito accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of the information and/or comments he supplies. |
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