Issue #703
Jan 17, 2020
The Oasis

Newsletter


The newsletter with chart analysis for stocks and stock indexes

Stock Indexes Analysis/Evaluation


Indexes Generate Negative Reversal Week. Correction Likely Started!

DOW Friday closing price - 30814
SPX Friday closing price - 3768
NASDAQ Friday closing price - 12998

All indexes generated red weekly closes, suggesting that the momentum to the upside has ended. The DOW and NASDAQ generated negative reversal weeks, having made new all-time intraweek highs but then closing red, signaling a potential or even probable top to this rally. The indexes closed near the lows of the week, suggesting further downside below last week's lows will be seen this week (DOW at 30612, SPX at 3749 and NAZ at 12949). With this happening on the 2nd week of the New Year and the recent history (last 7 years) showing a clear tendency for a correction to begin at this time of the year, in addition to the fact the indexes are strongly overbought and likely overvalued, the probabilities are strong that follow through to the downside lasting several weeks will be seen.

The earnings quarter has begun and that is always a potential catalyst for change. On Friday, C, JPM and WFC reported earnings and all 3 beat expectations but in the case of C and WFC, revenue disappointed and both saw a negative reversal week. In the case of JPM, the stock strongly beat earnings estimates but the CEO stated that much uncertainty in what is to happen this year is occurring. The stock had made a new all-time higher earlier in the week but the stock fell 2% in value on Friday and closed below the previous all-time high daily and weekly close, opening the door for a double top if the stock closes red next Friday. Simply stated, the start of the earnings quarter was not auspicious to further upside. This week, more financial companies report with BAC and GS on Tuesday and MS on Wednesday. In addition, NFLX reports Tuesday afternoon and IBM and INTC on Thursday. The first 3 are expected to report earnings better than 1-year ago and the latter 2, earnings lower than a year ago. It is difficult to see any of these reports being substantially better than expected, meaning that earnings this quarter are not likely to be catalytic unless they are strongly disappointing (unlikely). As such, if a correction has begun (likely), the chances of it being negated by earnings are low.

One problem the bulls are facing this week is that there is no support close by. In the DOW the support is 4% lower (at 29881), in the SPX it is 3% lower (at 3662) and in the NASDAQ is it 3.4% lower at (12543) and in every one of these cases, these support levels are minor in nature. As such and if by the end of Tuesday (when the first 3 big earnings-for-the-week are out) the reports have not been positively catalytic, the likely profit taking that will be seen is likely to take the indexes down close to those support levels. If those support levels are broken, that will be a big problem as there is absolutely no support of consequence below until the previous all-time highs are reached (DOW at 29398, SPX at 3598 and NAZ at 11695). It is unlikely the former support levels mentioned above will break this week as the traders are likely to wait until further and more important earnings reports come out but then the one thing that is impossible to evaluate at this time is the fact that Biden takes over the presidency on Wednesday and what comes immediately of it, could be a negative.

Overall all though, for the seasonal tendency mentioned before, the change to a presidency that is likely to raise taxes at some point, the overbought and likely overdone condition of the market, and the fact that the end of the problems regarding the economic malaise of the pandemic are not close by (yesterday there was an estimate that over 560,000 people will have died of the virus by May 2021 in spite of the vaccines being out), it is highly likely that at the "very least", the previous all-time highs will be tested. This means a correction of at least 6% (DOW previous all-time high) to as much as 12% (NAZ previous all-time high) is in the horizon.

Evidently, the recent all-time highs in the indexes should now be resistance (DOW at 31223, SPX at 2826 and NASDAQ at 13220). If those highs are now broken, this chart evaluation will be negated. Using the DOW for the risk/reward example, sellers have a 3.6-1 risk/reward ratio in the favor, selling the index at Friday's close and having the previous all-time high as the trade objective. The exact opposite is true for the bulls buying at Friday's close. With the momentum having stopped this past week, that risk/reward ratio is something all traders (and computer algorithms) will be looking at this week.


GOLD followed through to the downside, having closed .03% lower than the previous week's close and .05% lower than the previous week's low. Gold has now dropped 7.6% in the last 2 weeks from high to low. Nonetheless, the rate of descent from the previous week's drop fell substantially and more importantly, Gold made the weeks low on Tuesday and the bears failed to generate any further drop thereafter. Gold closed near the low of the week and further downside below last week's low at $1817 is expected to be seen this week. By the same token, if Gold goes above Friday's high at $1856 on Tuesday, it will mean that Friday's low will become a successful retest of Tuesday's low and if last week's high at $1864 is broken, the sell pressure will abate and a rally up to at least $1935 will be seen. To the downside and below $1817, there is very minor support at $1803 and then decent and pivotal support at $1767. The chart suggests that the correction from the all-time high is over and that a new support base from which to launch a new attempt at further new all-time highs is in the process of being built. This coming week and because of the change of administration, the week is likely to be indicative. Evidently, the change of administration is the only possible fundamentally pivotal event on the immediate schedule. Probabilities favor the bulls as Gold is still in a clear long term uptrend.

OIL generated a negative reversal week, having made a new 11-month intraweek high and then closing red and in the lower half of the weekly trading range, suggesting further downside below last week's low at 51.50 will be seen this week. Oil did get up close to the weekly close resistance at 53.99, having generated an intraweek high at 53.93 and then backing off to close at 52.42. It cannot yet be said that the weekly close resistance was reached on a weekly closing basis but the negative reversal seen and the closeness to the intraweek resistance area between 54.50 and 55.13, as well as the reversal that occurred, does suggest that there is selling interest seen in this area and that further upside (if it happens) will be toiled and difficult to achieve. There is no intraweek support below until 49.31 is reached (minor) and then a bit stronger at 47.18. On a weekly closing basis though, there is support at the $50 demilitarized zone. Probabilities favor the bears this week but the door is still open for an addition $1 rally above last week's highs, if and when the indexes don't fall down strongly.

DOLLAR did see follow through to the upside after the previous week's positive reversal week. In addition, the Dollar closed on the high of the week, suggesting further upside above last week's high at 90.80 will be seen this week. Nonetheless, it must be mentioned that minor intraweek resistance is found in this area between 90.57 and 90.93 and then minor to decent as well as pivotal at 92.63. On a weekly closing basis, resistance of some consequence is found at 91.17. Probabilities slightly favor the bulls this week but selling interest should start to increase toward the latter part of the week. Any confirmed daily close below 90.65 would being to give back the edge to the bears.


Stock Analysis/Evaluation
CHART Outlooks

This coming week there is a very important and likely pivotal event in the form of a new administration taking over. New policies will be instituted and changes will occur. Traders are going to key on those changes heavily for their outlook for the year. Evidently though, that will not all happen this week and therefore nothing definitive will be seen but the probabilities do favor some clearer direction seen by the end of the week.

As far as stocks are concerned, health care, clean energy and Cannabis stocks are likely to do well. In addition, China is likely to continue to outperform the U.S. this year, so Chinese stocks will also be prime candidates for purchase this year. This week and as far as the mentions are concerned, 2 of the mentions are in the health care industry and the 3rd one is in the Gold industry.

PURCHASES

PFE Friday Closing Price - 36.70

PFE is an established health products company and has developed a vaccine that is presently being used strongly in the U.S. and other parts of the world. Right before the vaccine was accepted by the FDA, the stock rallied up to 43.08 level but like with many products, the adage of "buy the anticipation and sell the fact" kicked into play and the stock has now corrected 16% from the high made.

Chart-wise, PFE has several support levels below of importance, starting with the 200-week MA, currently at 35.85, the 200-day MA, currently at 35.38, and an intraweek support level at 34.98 (from which the rally up to 43.08 was launched) that are highly unlikely to all be broken as there is nothing fundamentally or chart-wise negative about the stock at this time. In addition, the stock is in a bull trend and a drop and close below 34.46 would be a 20% correction from the high, which would mean that the uptrend is over (highly unlikely). As such and as the stock gets down to and slightly below $36, the buying interest is likely to appear.

PFE generated a negative reversal week last week, having made a new 4-week high but then reversing to close red and near the low of the week, suggesting further downside below last week's low at 36.40 will be seen this week. There is some support at the recent low at 36.29 but if the index market is heading lower, the support there (which is not an established support) is likely to break and take the stock down to one (or both) of the MA's stated above. To the upside and on an intraweek basis, PFE shows resistance at last week's high at 37.83, at 38.84 and then nothing until 41.51 (minor). 42.24 (minor to decent) and at the rally high at 43.08. Further resistance is found at the all-time high, which is found at 44.05.

PFE being an established company that depends on many other things not related to the Covid-19 vaccine, has a vaccine that is being heavily used, and is in the health industry, has potential to reach (and possibly break) the all-time high 44.05 made 2 years ago in December 2018

Purchases of PFE below 36.40 (hopefully around 35.80) and using a stop loss at 34.46 (based on a daily stop close only basis) and having a minimum 42.24 objective, offers a 3-1 risk/reward ratio.

My rating on the trade is 4.25 (on a scale of 1-5 with 5 being the highest).

FPRX Friday Closing Price - 14.22

FPRX is a health care company that is developing a cancer drug. Four years ago, the stock traded as high at 60.98 and as recently as 10 months ago it got down to 1.75. In October, the company announced positive trial results on its cancer drug and rallied 547% (from 4.53 to 24.70) over a period of 1 week and in the process, broke above the 200-week MA, currently at 14.50, which was a line that had not been broken to the upside since 2017, when if first got broken to the downside. It is evident (by the huge appreciation in price) that the cancer drug results were a strong positive.

Like with most pharma stocks that get good news, the initial rally is as much about short-covering as it is about the news and as such, FPRX has fallen back down in an attempt to establish a new support level as well retest the important and long term indicative 200-week MA. On Friday, the stock closed slightly below the MA line and if a green close occurs next Friday, the line will have been tested successfully and new buying interest is likely to be seen.

It is important to note that in 2015 and just prior to FPRX rallying up to its all-time high at 60.96, the stock generated an important intraweek low a 14.70, giving this area of support here even more importance and strength.

As far as support is concerned, FPRX shows daily close support at 13.46, which was the resistance level that got broken and from which the rally up to 24.70 occurred. Evidently, any daily close below that level will generate a failure signal, which would be a sign to get out of the positions.

To the upside, FPRX shows some resistance at 20.98 and again at the recent high at 24.70. Nonetheless, all of that resistance is recent and not established. Established resistance above starts to be found at 26.00 (minor) and up to 28.40 (minor to decent). On a weekly closing basis, resistance is decent and pivotal at 27.83. If that level is broken, there is open air above until $45 is reached. In looking at the chart and the news behind the rally, as well as the fact that health stocks will be "in vogue" this year, I would give the objective of this mention a target of 27.83.

Purchased of FPRX at 14.50 (or below) and using a stop loss at 13.46 (on a daily stop close only basis) and having at 27.83 objective, offers a 13-1 risk/reward ratio.

My rating on the trade is a 3.25 (on a scale of 1-5 with 5 being the highest.

FNV Friday Closing Price - 121.20

FNV is a Gold based stock but is also an interest rate stock as the company does not mine Gold but loans money to Gold mining companies. The stock started trading in 2007 at a price of 15.00 and just 5 months ago got up to a high of 166.11. The stock has been in a bull trend for all 14 years as it has never broken below a previous major low. Gold started moving up strongly on its quest for a new all-time high in August of 2018 and so did FNV embark on its strong rally, from its September 2018 low at 61.90.

FNV has been in a correction for the last 5 months and has now corrected 28% from the high. Nonetheless and like it has been seen the previous 14 years, no major previous low has been broken as that low is presently at 77.18. Just prior to that low being made, the stock made a new all-time high weekly close at 119.18 and in this correction presently being seen, a retest of that previous high is the objective.

FNV closed on the low of the week and further downside below last week's low at 121.06 is expected to be seen. The previous all-time daily closing high is 120.63 and the previous all-time high weekly close is 119.18. One or both of those are objectives for the week. Nonetheless and being in a bull run, the close on Friday is sufficiently close to both of these levels that if the stock starts moving higher from here, it can now be said both of those have been tested successfully. I do expect the stock to go a bit lower this week due to its weak close on Friday, but I only expect the 120.63 level to be reached and not the 119.18. If that occurs, and that can be determined on any daily close this week, the buyers will come back in strongly as Gold has already established a bottom that is not likely to be broken, meaning that there seems to be no fundamental or chart-wise reason to expect a breakdown of that industry.

To the upside, FNV has pivotal resistance at 133.15. A break above that level will be a sign that the correction is over. Nonetheless, to re-establish the uptrend, the stock has to get above 139.07 and close above the 200-day MA, currently at 136.46. If that occur, the objective of this trade is the $151 level, which is where there is decent resistance that will require some positive fundamental news to break. To the downside and on an intraweek basis, FNV shows minor but likely pivotal support at 118.80.

Purchases of FNV at 121.20 or lower and using a stop loss at 118.65 and having a $151 objective, offers an 11-1 risk/reward ratio.

My rating on the trade is 3.5 (on a scale of 1-5 with 5 being the highest).

Updates
Updates on Held Stocks
Closed Trades, Open Positions and Stop Loss Changes

AU generated a red week and a close on the low of the week, suggesting further downside below last week's low at 22.03 will be seen this week, The stock did break an established level of support between 22.36 and 22.50 that does weaken the chart short term, meaning the bears have the edge at this moment and the bulls in a position of having to defend the remaining 2 levels of support at 21.15 and at 20.15, which the latter is pivotal longer term. Resistance is now strongly pivotal between 25.75 and 26.13, which represent the most recent high as well as the 200-day MA. For this week, the traders will likely wait to see what happens immediately after the new administration takes over and either push lower or recover. Probabilities slightly favor the bulls.

AXP generated an inside week that clarified nothing. Traders await direction based on what the indexes do. The company reports earning on Tuesday of next week. The stock remains will a bullish bias for now. On a daily closing basis, pivotal resistance is at 125.04. As far as support and also based on a daily close, there is short term pivotal support at 121.06 and midterm pivotal support at 111.12. The stock closed very slightly in the upper half of the week's trading range, suggesting a slightly higher probability of going above last week's high at 124.50 than below last week's low at 119.39. Nonetheless, at this time the stock is dependent on what the indexes do.

BTZI once again, did not do anything indicative this past week, having generated an inside week and a close in the middle of the week's trading range. An important stock in the industry (CRON) did continue to move higher and the probabilities favor the stock following suit. Pivotal resistance is found at .055 that if broken, the chart shows open air above until .088. Support remains at .035. Probabilities slightly favor the bulls.

CAT continues to be one of the stronger stocks in the market, having generated once again a new all-time intraweek and weekly closing high this past week, in spite of the indexes generating negative reversal weeks. Nonetheless, the stock did generate a negative reversal day on Wednesday with follow through the next 2 days and did close in the lower half of the week's trading range, suggesting further downside below last week's low at 190.31 is likely to be seen this week. The stock has reached a decent psychological resistance level, having had a high this past week at 200.17. It is likely the stock will follow suit to the index market (regarding direction) and also move back down to test the previous all-time weekly closing high at 170.41. Evidently, if the stock goes below last week's low this week, the momentum to the upside will be halted and profit taking likely to occur. As such, the 190.31 is short-term pivotal this week. Below that level, there is no established support until the $175-$176 level is reached. Probabilities continue to favor the bulls but this is a short-term pivotal week and with the probabilities favor the indexes heading lower, the stock might do the same.

CNX continued to move higher this past week, having made another new 9-month intraweek high and another new 12-month weekly closing high and closed on the high of the week, suggesting further upside above last week's high at 14.09 will be seen this week. Nonetheless, the stock is approaching a level of intraweek and weekly close resistance that has stopped the stock from going higher on 5 different occasions over a period of 18 months, going back to the most recent one 9 months ago and then going back to the period between March 2017 and November 2017. The intraweek level of resistance during this time was between 14.19 and 14.82 and on a weekly closing basis, between 13.75 and 14.34. As such, this stock must be watched closely this week for clues as to whether this rally is strong enough to plow through all this established resistance of whether the stock will do what it did previous and establish a trading area between $11-$12 and $14.00/$14.50, with the latter being the most probable. This means that as of now, I am looking to take profits on all held shares. The 2 key issues to watch this week is 14.82 and on a daily closing basis at 14.41. If the bulls are able to get above both of those levels, then further upside toward the $17 is likely to be seen. If unable to get above those levels and "any" red daily close occurs from here on in, liquidation of positions should be considered. By the same token and as mentioned last week, the ultimate objective to the upside is the $18-$19 level, meaning that even if liquidation of the positions occurs, this is still a stock to purchase on dips.

CRON followed through to the upside after last week's breakout and made another new 15-month intraweek and weekly closing high. The stock once again closed in the upper half of last week's trading range and further upside above last week's high at 11.75 is expected to be seen this week. Nonetheless, the stock did encounter selling after reaching the week's high, given that it backed off to close 7% below the week's high and generated a negative reversal day on Friday, having made the new high that day and then going below the previous day's low and closing red. The stock has rallied 42% in value over the past 2 weeks and this red reversal day on the daily chart suggests that the short-covering binge is now over and that the bulls need to make a case for further upside based on fundamentals and not so much on the chart. To the downside, there is some minor intraweek support at 10.58 that if reached but not broken, would likely generate a new round of buying interest. If broken, the $10 demilitarized area would be the immediate target but there is no established support below 10.58 until the $9-$9.50 level is reached. If the 10.58 level holds up, rallies up to somewhere between 12.15 (minimum) to as high as 14.00 (maximum) could be seen. On a weekly closing basis, there is quite a bit of resistance starting at 11.99 and up to 12.72, meaning that traders will most likely start taking profits when the stock reaches that area. On the same weekly closing chart, the $10 level is now support. Probabilities favor the bulls but traders should consider taking profits on rallies above $12 and purchasing back those shares on drops down to $10.

FNV made a new 9-month intraweek and weekly closing low and closed on the low of the week, suggesting further upside above last week's low at 121.06 will be seen this week. It became evident when the 200-day MA got broken in November and then retested successfully twice thereafter, that the previous all-time high daily close at 120.61 was the downside target and given that level is only $.60 cents below Friday's close, that level is likely to be seen this week. Further support is found at 119.18, which represents the previous all-time high weekly close. Nonetheless, with the stock still in a long term bull trend and it is not likely that "any" failure signals will occur, it is only likely the stock will get down to the $120 level and 'not" close below 120.61, and not get down to test the weekly close support. As such, the expectations are for the stock to close somewhere near the 120.61 level one day this week and then generate a reversal and likely a green weekly close next Friday. By the same token, it can be said that the close on Friday at 121.20 is close enough that if the stock moves higher from here, a drop down to that level will not be needed to confirm a successful retest of that previous high daily close. On a daily closing basis, a close above 124.56 would now be a small sign that the correction is over. Probabilities favor the bears at the beginning of the week but the bulls for the latter part of the week.

FPRX made a new 9-week low and closed on the low of the week, suggesting further downside below last week's low at 14.22 will be seen this week. By the same token, it can be surmised that the recent weakness seen was mostly to retest the breakout above the 200-week MA, currently at 14.50, which had not been broken to the upside for 3 years prior, suggesting that it needed to be tested before renewed buying interest came in. As such, the close next Friday is pivotal as another red close will give a failure signal and a green close will mean a successful retest of the line has occurred. Nonetheless and given that the stock closed weakly and slightly below the line on Friday and the bulls cannot afford to allow much intraweek weakness to be seen this week, it must be noted that the breakout that began to occur 10 weeks ago was after a break of what was then a pivotal daily close resistance level at 13.58. As such, any daily close below 13.58 would now be seen as a bearish statement of failure, meaning that the most that can be seen on any day this week is no more than a drop of $.64 cents from Friday's close (based on a daily close). I did purchase half the shares I was looking to purchase on the mention this past week and will purchase the other shares on any drop below $14 (as close to 13.58 as possible) to fulfill the mention. Stop loss will be as 13.48 (based on a daily close). Any daily close above 15.96, will likely confirm the retest was successful and new buying is likely to appear. Probabilities favor the bulls.

NEM generated a failure signal against the bears, having closed on Friday above the 60.47/60.50 level that has been a bone of contention since October. The stock did spike up this past week but did not break any resistance levels above and then fell back to close in the lower half of the week's trading range, suggesting further downside below last week's low at 61.66 will be seen this week. The spike intraweek high at 65.78 will now become the new pivotal resistance level. An intraweek drop back down to the $60 level is expected to be seen this week, in fact there is an open gap at 60.53 that is not supported by fundamentals or the price in Gold and as such, should be closed. Nonetheless, the stock broke above the 200-day MA, currently at 61.76, and that line should not be broken to the downside, at least not on a confirmed basis any more, unless Gold continues lower. Pivotal support is now found at 59.42, that is broken would give the bears back full control. Probabilities slightly favor the bulls but some weakness is expected to be seen early in the week.

QQQ did not follow through to the upside after the previous week's close on the high of the week and ended up having an inside week but with a red weekly close and on the low of the week, suggesting further downside below last week's low at 310.58 will be seen this week. Once again, the stock underperformed the mother (NASDAQ) given that the index made a new all-time high but the stock didn't. This is a sign of weakness as the stock has been know more to be the leader than the follower (between mother and son). Just like with the index, there is pivotal support below at 305.18 that if broken, opens the door for a drop down to the previous all-time weekly closing high at 292.52, given that there is no other support below. Evidently, the recent all-time high at 319.39 is now pivotal resistance that if broken, will negate any beginning-of-the-year correction. Probabilities favor the bears.

SRUTF generated a green weekly close on Friday and it was the highest weekly close in the past 5 weeks. Nonetheless, nothing of consequence occurred given that the weekly close resistance above at .049 was not broken (stock closed on Friday at .04). By the same token, all Cannabis stocks are beginning to move higher and that suggests that it is only a matter of time before this stock moves higher as well. There is intraweek support at .03 and pivotal at .025 and resistance is found at .049, at .0659 and long term pivotal at .080. A break above or below either of those two levels would be indicative. I have to say that the probabilities favor the bulls this week but given the lack of a positive statement of note, the movement higher is not likely to occur until the rest of the Cannabis stocks confirm their own statements.

W generated a 32% rally from low to high and in the process, made a new all-time intraweek high at $369, above the previous one at $349. Nonetheless, the breakout was not confirmed when the stock not only closed below the previous all-time high weekly close at 340.66 but also below the weekly close resistance level from September at 305.36 and also below the weekly close resistance from November at 301.13, meaning that the breakout was without merit and likely a stop loss triggering anomaly due to the break above the established channel line. The stock closed in the lower half of the week's trading range, suggesting a higher probability of going below last week's low at 249.54 than above last week's high at $369. By the same token and having seen the largest weekly trading range ever, the probabilities favor an inside week in which the traders figure out "what is going on and what is likely to happen" and that may depend on what the indexes do. One thing that is likely to happen this week is a retest of the channel line that got broke, which presently is found at $274. There is some minor intraweek support at 272.89 that is likely to stand up this week. To the upside, there is resistance at 304.34 that is also likely to hold, at least until after Wednesday's inauguration of the new president. If either of those 2 levels get broken, to the downside, the next support is at 260.76 and to the upside, the next resistance is at 324.21. Next Friday's weekly close does have some importance because if the stock closes once again below the channel line, the exact opposite of last week's rally could happen to the downside, meaning a $20 drop below the most recent low at 222.28. There is no probability rating this week as the traders are confused (because of the action seen) and not likely to do much to either side. The company reports earning on February 2 and the traders might just wait to make any decisive decisions until that report comes out.


1) ENG - Averaged long at 1.31 (3 mentions). Liquidated at 5.61. Profit on the trade of $1290 per 100 shares (3 mentions) minus commissions.

2) BTZI - Averaged long at .215 (2 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at .0449.

3) CRON - Averaged long at 10.4275 (4 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 10.93.

4) SRUTF - Purchased at .36. No stop loss at moment. Stock closed on Friday at .0401.

5) W - Averaged short at 86.61 (2 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 300.00.

6) CAT - Averaged short at 109.616 (3 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 194.62.

7) QQQ - Averaged short at 192.995 (2 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 311.86.

8) AXP - Averged short at 93.953 (3 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 122.15.

9) AU - Averaged long at 26.106 (6 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 22.08.

10) NEM - Averaged long at 61.08 (6 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 61.86.

11) CNX - Averaged long at 9.10 (2 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 13.83.

12) FNV - Purchased at 126.83. Stop loss now at 118.65. Stock closed on Friday at 121.20.

13) CAT - Shorted twice for day trades. Total profit on the trades of $501 per 100 shares minus commissions.

14) W - Shorted at 340.65. No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 300.00.

15) W - Day traded 3 times on the short side. Total loss on the trades of $312 per 100 shares plus commissions.

16) W - Shorted at 354.29 for a day trade. Covered short at 331.09. Profit on the trade of $2317 per 100 shares minus commission.


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Disclaimer

The opinions and commentaries by Mr. De Vito are not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a charting guideline, based on his own knowledge and experience, regarding the stocks he is following or that are brought to him by others. Mr. De Vito does not presently offer a track record of his trading experiences. No inference of success and/or failure should be assumed. The information enclosed above, regarding his background, length of trading, and experience, is correct but is not meant to suggest, state, or infer any future success in trading, based on his opinions.

The information herewith included should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. Mr. De Vito accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of the information and/or comments he supplies.




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