Issue #772
Jul 10, 2022
The Oasis

Newsletter


The newsletter with chart analysis for stocks and stock indexes

Stock Indexes Analysis/Evaluation


Traders Awaiting Inflation News on Wednesday and 2nd Quarter Earnings Reports.

DOW Friday closing price - 31338
SPX Friday closing price - 3899
NASDAQ Friday closing price - 12125
RUT Friday closing price - 1769

The bulls were able to extend the recovery rally but not to any degree that is indicative of any change of consequence. This week looks to be much of the same except that if there is any further upside (on a daily closing basis), another 2-3% upside could occur. Such a rally would not change things substantially other than to delay further indicative weakness until after the first 3 weeks of the earnings quarter are done. That is what is at stake this week. Wednesday will be an important day fundamentally, given that the monthly inflation report (CPI) comes out. Thursday and Friday will have some importance due to the first (but most important) of the financial companies reporting earnings. As such, the first 2 days of the week could be one way and the latter part of the week the other way. Either way, it is not likely that this coming week will be indicative unless the inflation report is much higher (or much lower) than anticipated (anticipated to be 1.1% - last month it was 1%).

Nonetheless, the probabilities continue to favor the bears reaching the 200-week MA's below, with the only question is when (now or in a few weeks from now?).


PRODUCTS

Gold, Oil and Bitcoin are presently in a holding pattern awaiting news. Last week's action was not indicative.

Dollar is on a breakout and continues higher. At this time and until the end of the rate increases occurs, the Dollar is likely to remain supported.


Stock Analysis/Evaluation
CHART Outlooks

For the reasons stated above in the index market and the still-to-be-determined short-term outlook of the overall market for this week, there are no new mentions given this week in the newsletter. Nonetheless, after Wednesday's CPI report comes out, I will likely have one or two mentions that will be given on the message board.

By the same token, last week's mention on LI is still valid, especially since it is a Chinese stock and not sensitive to what happens to the U.S. Market.

LI Friday Closing Price - 38.90

LI is the Chinese equivalent of . It is a new company that started trading just 23 months ago at $15 and has already established itself as a favorite among Chinese stocks given that it made its all-time high just 18-weeks later at 47.20. In spite of all the weakness and selling of stocks over the past 6 months (most everywhere in the world), the stock got back up to 41.49 just 2 weeks ago, after having rallied 225% in value over the previous weeks, strongly suggesting that further upside is likely to come, perhaps even a new all-time high.

LI has built a breakaway/runaway gap in the weekly chart (most indicative of breakaway/runaway formations), which offers an upside objective of 59.78, to be reached within the next 7 weeks. In addition, this formation also gives a viable and dependable support area as the runaway gap down at 34.00 should not be closed.

Purchases of LI below 36.15 and using a 34.00 stop loss and having a 59.78 objective will offer a 6-1 risk/reward ratio. My rating on the trade is a 4 (on a scale of 1-5 with 5 being the highest). Chart-wise, this action seen the last 6 weeks, the formation in place, and the fact that Chinese stocks have been outperforming U.S. stocks the past few weeks and likely will continue to outperform them until the interest rate hikes stop, makes this trade very viable and attractive.

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Updates
Updates on Held Stocks
Closed Trades, Open Positions and Stop Loss Changes

I am not updating the held stocks this week given that very little occurred last week and therefore there is nothing new to say until after the CPI number comes out and some stocks will react to it, one way or another. The outlook given last week remains valid, so check back on last week's newsletter for details.

I will say though, that there is likely to be either some liquidations or additions to held stocks this week after the inflation report comes out on Wednesday. I will put such information on the message board after the news comes out.


1) SNDL - Averaged long at .905 (2 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at .3327.

2) PRTS - Averaged long at 7.29 (2 mentions). Stop loss now at 5.65. Stock closed on Friday at 7.26.

3) SRUTF - Averaged long at .0738 (3 mentions). No stop loss at moment. Stock closed on Friday at .016.

4) BTZI - Averaged long at .0935 (4 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at .004.

5) ZLAB - Averaged long at 71.955 (6 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 38.54.

6) AU - Averaged long at 26.184 (4 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 15.19

7) NEM - Averaged long at 72.133 (3 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 61.17.

8) ENG - Averaged long at 3.378 (5 mentions). No stop loss at present. Stock closed on Friday at 1.01.

9) VNET - Averaged long at 5.32 (2 mentions). No stop loss now at 4.98. Stock closed on Friday at 6.01.

10) AAPL - Shorted at 150.38. Stop loss now at 143.59. Stock closed on Friday at 138.93

11) IDCC - Shorted at 65.89. Stop loss at 67.35. Stock closed on Friday at 63.57.

12) CAT - Shorted at 229.67. Stop loss now at 193.35. Stock closed on Friday at 178.29.


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Disclaimer

The opinions and commentaries by Mr. De Vito are not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a charting guideline, based on his own knowledge and experience, regarding the stocks he is following or that are brought to him by others. Mr. De Vito does not presently offer a track record of his trading experiences. No inference of success and/or failure should be assumed. The information enclosed above, regarding his background, length of trading, and experience, is correct but is not meant to suggest, state, or infer any future success in trading, based on his opinions.

The information herewith included should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. Mr. De Vito accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of the information and/or comments he supplies.




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